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denphone 06-10-2019 09:51

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36012908)
Shame on you - if Jeremy Corbyn used these tactics for any other reason, you would be first in the queue to decry him (along with me); but it’s alright if it’s something you support.

Political expediency when it suits ones political agenda l would call it.

OLD BOY 06-10-2019 10:19

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36012884)
The Conservative Party promotes itself as the party of law and order. Breaking the law or the spirit of the law would further damage this image.

As mentioned above, it wouldn't get requests for a free trade deal off to a good start. The myth of "they need us more than we need them" has long since faded into the sunset.

It would also prevent the Government from taking the moral high ground with climate change protestors and complaining to countries about ways in which they operate.

Remember, the Brexit vote did not give a timescale. Leaving the EU could be enacted in 10 years' time and would still honour the vote.

Why do you call it a myth, Andrew? Who exports more to whom?

jfman 06-10-2019 10:34

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36012909)
That's primary law and not easily overturned.

Where have you been? If this Parliament has demonstrated anything it’s that ideas such as this aren’t true any more.

1andrew1 06-10-2019 10:56

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36012903)
So where are the "heavy" ones? Any in the past with Eastern Europe were "heavy" for very different reasons and not because of the EU, and when a new EU country(eg Hungary) puts up a "heavy" border, the EU complains about it.:confused:

Please can you just answer my question?

jfman 06-10-2019 10:58

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36012916)
Please can you just answer my question?

Of course he can’t. If you want paragraph after paragraph of unrelated wishful nonsense then knock yourself out.

Mick 06-10-2019 11:11

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36012917)
Of course he can’t. If you want paragraph after paragraph of unrelated wishful nonsense then knock yourself out.

And if you want “knocking out” of this discussion, carry on with the pathetic petty insults.

Sephiroth 06-10-2019 11:16

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36012908)
Shame on you - if Jeremy Corbyn used these tactics for any other reason, you would be first in the queue to decry him (along with me); but it’s alright if it’s something you support.

Not at all shame on me. Shame on the MPs trying to stop Brexit. As to that anti-semite Corbyn .....

jfman 06-10-2019 11:29

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
MPs aren’t trying to stop Brexit, they’re trying to ensure we leave with a deal, which isn’t the same thing.

papa smurf 06-10-2019 11:41

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36012922)
MPs aren’t trying to stop Brexit, they’re trying to ensure we leave with a deal, which isn’t the same thing.

The lib dumbs want to revoke a 50, as do the scottish nats, the welsh nuts some labour and cons also.

jfman 06-10-2019 11:52

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36012923)
The lib dumbs want to revoke a 50, as do the scottish nats, the welsh nuts some labour and cons also.

There's always going to be opposition to anything - there's consensus on leaving with a deal. Indeed - it was the ERG and DUP that killed off May's deal. Not MPs as a whole.

1andrew1 06-10-2019 11:52

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
What a difference 3.5 years makes. Not only has Wright Bus laid off all its staff but the reality of the Irish border can no longer be escaped.
Quote:

Boris Johnson has said he does not believe the Irish border would be affected if the UK left the European Union.
The mayor of London was in Northern Ireland on Monday just 48 hours after Prime Minister David Cameron's visit.
Mr Johnson announced a £62m order for County Antrim firm Wrightbus.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-35692452

OLD BOY 06-10-2019 11:56

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36012922)

MPs aren’t trying to stop Brexit, they’re trying to ensure we leave with a deal, which isn’t the same thing.

That's just the cover story. Of course they want to stop Brexit.

Boris may bring back a deal from Europe, but the opposition parties will still vote against it, whatever it says.

Sephiroth 06-10-2019 12:03

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36012922)
MPs aren’t trying to stop Brexit, they’re trying to ensure we leave with a deal, which isn’t the same thing.

Oh Dear! They have rejected the only deal that the EU says it will accept and thus know full well that any other deal is unlikely. Their sham policy is merely a foil to get No Brexit.

If you can't see that then you're either kidding yourself or .....


jfman 06-10-2019 12:05

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36012926)
That's just the cover story. Of course they want to stop Brexit.

Boris may bring back a deal from Europe, but the opposition parties will still vote against it, whatever it says.

It's hardly a cover story. It's a statement of fact. The Benn Act doesn't stop Brexit, nor could it, if they wanted to stop Brexit surely they'd vote to revoke?

1andrew1 06-10-2019 12:11

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Anyone hoping that the US will come to our rescue post-Brexit, needs to review how badly the US is treating us now.
The US woman involved in a car crash here that killed teenager Harry Dunn recently left the UK claiming diplomatic immunity.
https://news.sky.com/story/family-to...edium=referral

jfman 06-10-2019 12:11

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36012927)
Oh Dear! They have rejected the only deal that the EU says it will accept and thus know full well that any other deal is unlikely. Their sham policy is merely a foil to get No Brexit.

If you can't see that then you're either kidding yourself or .....


It can only deliver No Brexit if people vote for that in a second referendum or a General Election. We're some distance from there.

I repeat the fact that May's deal went down because of the ERG and the DUP. Had they voted for it we'd have left on March 29.

1andrew1 06-10-2019 12:16

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36012930)
It can only deliver No Brexit if people vote for that in a second referendum or a General Election. We're some distance from there.

I repeat the fact that May's deal went down because of the ERG and the DUP. Had they voted for it we'd have left on March 29.

Exactly. They're now trying to revise the historical narrative so it excuses all the disloyal Conservative and DUP MPs who would not support Theresa May. They were the Government and the Government was let down badly by its own MPs.

If they had voted with their own Government, Brexit would have happened by now and we'd be discussing a trade deal.



---------- Post added at 12:16 ---------- Previous post was at 12:15 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36012928)
It's hardly a cover story. It's a statement of fact. The Benn Act doesn't stop Brexit, nor could it, if they wanted to stop Brexit surely they'd vote to revoke?

Less of those pesky facts, jfman! ;)

Sephiroth 06-10-2019 12:29

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36012930)
It can only deliver No Brexit if people vote for that in a second referendum or a General Election. We're some distance from there.

I repeat the fact that May's deal went down because of the ERG and the DUP. Had they voted for it we'd have left on March 29.

But in the minds of the Remainer MPs, they know that their's is a foil for No Brexit - as well you know.

May's deal was BRINO and unacceptable to everyone in the UK.

jfman 06-10-2019 12:38

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36012933)

But in the minds of the Remainer MPs, they know that their's is a foil for No Brexit - as well you know.

May's deal was BRINO and unacceptable to everyone in the UK.

May's deal got the support of the vast vast majority of her party in Parliament. It's only the extreme end of the Brexit wing of the party that didn't vote for it.

Despite being BRINO as you put it, none of these so called remainers supported it.

ianch99 06-10-2019 13:01

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
I am surprised the race to the bottom has started so early:

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/brexit...eld-eu-brexit/

Quote:

BORIS Johnson has scrapped a promise to the EU that Britain will abide by “level-playing -field standards” after Brexit.

Ex-PM Theresa May had agreed with Brussels that the UK would stick to similar rules in areas such as competition and state aid plus workplace and environmental protections.
Granted it is the Sun but this seems credible ..

Hugh 06-10-2019 13:22

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36012933)

But in the minds of the Remainer MPs, they know that their's is a foil for No Brexit - as well you know.

May's deal was BRINO and unacceptable to everyone in the UK.

Now, you know that’s not true...

OLD BOY 06-10-2019 13:33

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36012929)
Anyone hoping that the US will come to our rescue post-Brexit, needs to review how badly the US is treating us now.
The US woman involved in a car crash here that killed teenager Harry Dunn recently left the UK claiming diplomatic immunity.
https://news.sky.com/story/family-to...edium=referral

What's that got to do with trade?

Pierre 06-10-2019 13:38

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36012922)
MPs aren’t trying to stop Brexit, they’re trying to ensure we leave with a deal, which isn’t the same thing.

Stopping “no deal” Brexit, is just Remainer speak for stopping Brexit.

There was a deal on offer that was rejected 3 times, and I would suspect that any deal brought before the house would be rejected, as they don’t want to leave. Unfortunately no deal is the only form of Brexit that will happen, if it happens at all.

OLD BOY 06-10-2019 13:38

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36012934)
May's deal got the support of the vast vast majority of her party in Parliament. It's only the extreme end of the Brexit wing of the party that didn't vote for it.

Despite being BRINO as you put it, none of these so called remainers supported it.

No, because the remainers wanted things to remain as they are.

I don't think it is 'extremist' to take the view that the NI backstop was unacceptable.

jfman 06-10-2019 13:48

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36012938)
Stopping “no deal” Brexit, is just Remainer speak for stopping Brexit.

There was a deal on offer that was rejected 3 times, and I would suspect that any deal brought before the house would be rejected, as they don’t want to leave. Unfortunately no deal is the only form of Brexit that will happen, if it happens at all.

It's not remainer speak for stopping Brexit. It's about leaving the EU on our terms, when it suits us, and not arbitrarily leaving the EU without a deal when we are ill prepared to do so.

One option would be to change the arithmetic in Parliament, another to negotiate another deal. All of which would allow more time to prepare for no deal.

---------- Post added at 13:48 ---------- Previous post was at 13:46 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36012939)
No, because the remainers wanted things to remain as they are.

I don't think it is 'extremist' to take the view that the NI backstop was unacceptable.

It was the extremists who voted against it - the DUP and the ERG. The moderates in the Conservative Party were happy with it.

That's a statement of fact.

OLD BOY 06-10-2019 13:48

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36012941)
It's not remainer speak for stopping Brexit. It's about leaving the EU on our terms, when it suits us, and not arbitrarily leaving the EU without a deal when we are ill prepared to do so.

One option would be to change the arithmetic in Parliament, another to negotiate another deal. All of which would allow more time to prepare for no deal.

The deadline for leaving will not be extended. I thought you'd heard! :D

jfman 06-10-2019 13:49

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36012944)
The deadline for leaving will not be extended. I thought you'd heard! :D

That's what they said in March.

OLD BOY 06-10-2019 13:51

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36012941)
It's not remainer speak for stopping Brexit. It's about leaving the EU on our terms, when it suits us, and not arbitrarily leaving the EU without a deal when we are ill prepared to do so.

One option would be to change the arithmetic in Parliament, another to negotiate another deal. All of which would allow more time to prepare for no deal.

---------- Post added at 13:48 ---------- Previous post was at 13:46 ----------



It was the extremists who voted against it - the DUP and the ERG. The moderates in the Conservative Party were happy with it.

Extremists. What a joke! You could call Corbynistas extremists because they are communist. The direct opposite of communism is fascism, and neither the ERG nor DUP are fascist.

---------- Post added at 13:51 ---------- Previous post was at 13:50 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36012945)
That's what they said in March.

That's what May said, not Johnson.

jfman 06-10-2019 13:54

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36012946)
Extremists. What a joke! You could call Corbynistas extremists because they are communist. The direct opposite of communism is fascism, and neither the ERG nor DUP are fascist.[COLOR="Silver"]

You are conflating multiple issues here that are irrelevant. The ERG have an extreme view of what Brexit should look like. An element of the bigots in the DUP believe the dinosaurs were put in the Earth to challenge our faith that the world was created just a few thousand years ago.

If that's not extreme I don't know what is.

Quote:

That's what May said, not Johnson.
Have you missed the papers lodged in the Scottish courts?

1andrew1 06-10-2019 13:59

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36012948)
Have you missed the papers lodged in the Scottish courts?

Pretty hard to avoid, one would have thought.

---------- Post added at 13:59 ---------- Previous post was at 13:58 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36012946)
That's what May said, not Johnson.

So, are you saying that BoJo is more honest than May?

Hugh 06-10-2019 14:07

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36012920)
Not at all shame on me. Shame on the MPs trying to stop Brexit. As to that anti-semite Corbyn .....

Well, they haven't committed unlawful acts, and threatened to break the law, so, no...

---------- Post added at 14:07 ---------- Previous post was at 14:04 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36012944)
The deadline for leaving will not be extended. I thought you'd heard! :D

There's what he says, and then there's what he submits to a court of law (handy hint, only one is legally binding...).

Quote:

Boris Johnson will send a letter to the EU asking for a Brexit delay if no deal is agreed by 19 October, according to government papers submitted to a Scottish court.
You can't believe everything you hear... ;)

denphone 06-10-2019 14:11

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36012945)
That's what they said in March.

He seems to conveniently forgotten about that episode.

Pierre 06-10-2019 14:21

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36012941)
One option would be to change the arithmetic in Parliament,

That is the only way it will happen. A majority Tory Government all with the whip.

There is no other way.

---------- Post added at 14:21 ---------- Previous post was at 14:19 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36012952)
Well, they haven't committed unlawful acts, and threatened to break the law, so, no...

They just ignored it or changed it. The law said we would leave in March. The law also says we will leave in October, or at least it did until they amended it.

OLD BOY 06-10-2019 15:00

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36012948)
You are conflating multiple issues here that are irrelevant. The ERG have an extreme view of what Brexit should look like. An element of the bigots in the DUP believe the dinosaurs were put in the Earth to challenge our faith that the world was created just a few thousand years ago.

If that's not extreme I don't know what is.



Have you missed the papers lodged in the Scottish courts?

It is not extreme to believe that Britain should leave the EU and negotiate a trade deal instead. That is basically what Brexiteers voted for. You are the one raising different issues. I'm just responding to them.

Maggy 06-10-2019 15:05

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
I just don't care anymore..I'm sick of the whole boiling bunch in the HoC..

1andrew1 06-10-2019 15:24

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36012967)
It is not extreme to believe that Britain should leave the EU and negotiate a trade deal instead. That is basically what Brexiteers voted for. You are the one raising different issues. I'm just responding to them.

A no-deal breaks/threatens the Good Friday Agreement which is extreme.

jfman 06-10-2019 15:25

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36012967)
It is not extreme to believe that Britain should leave the EU and negotiate a trade deal instead. That is basically what Brexiteers voted for. You are the one raising different issues. I'm just responding to them.

You brought Corbyn up - completely irrelevant and for no other reason than to derail the conversation.

“Basically what Brexiteers voted for”. Was it or wasn’t it?

The DUP and ERG are, and always have been, on the extreme end of the argument - you’re simply playing with semantics.

Leaving the EU with a deal is what moderates in the Conservative Party have voted for over and over.

nomadking 06-10-2019 15:37

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36012916)
Please can you just answer my question?

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36012917)
Of course he can’t. If you want paragraph after paragraph of unrelated wishful nonsense then knock yourself out.

I could point them out. I'm pointing out that there aren't that many that aren't fairly open in that illicit goods and/or people can't move across them. That is why Hungary was forced(not by the EU) to put up a big fence along their border.


It is still the responsibility of Ireland/EU to police what comes into Ireland/EU, not the UK. Same principle the World over. And I've I already pointed out, the backstop is outside of the legal remit of Article 50. It firmly comes under future agreements, which can't even be discussed until we've left the EU.

Mick 06-10-2019 15:42

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Looking at latest posts in here...We seem to be creeping back to old and tired arguments, stop it, or this thread closes for good. Sick of reading the same crap.

nomadking 06-10-2019 15:52

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36012971)
A no-deal breaks/threatens the Good Friday Agreement which is extreme.

The IRA continuing their campaign of violence does that. If the GFA means we can't leave the EU, then the GFA is null and void, because nobody voted for that consequence. Don't get what all the fuss is about. Why on earth should the IRA kick up a fuss over it?


No other country in the world would stand for the way the UK gets treated.

jfman 06-10-2019 16:01

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36012976)
The IRA continuing their campaign of violence does that. If the GFA means we can't leave the EU, then the GFA is null and void, because nobody voted for that consequence. Don't get what all the fuss is about. Why on earth should the IRA kick up a fuss over it?

No other country in the world would stand for the way the UK gets treated.

I actually think a country less insecure about it’s own identity would recognise that Northern Ireland voted to remain and depends, to a greater or lesser extent, on trade with the Republic.

NI remaining in the Single Market/Customs Union has doesn’t make Brexit any less Brexit.

If the DUP didn’t have Theresa May by the short and curlies this is very well where we would have been today. Readying for trade deals for the end of the transition period on 31 December 2020.

It gives England what it wants (out the EU), Northern Ireland what it wants (no border) and reduces the chances of one Ireland.

Sephiroth 06-10-2019 16:08

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36012977)
I actually think a country less insecure about it’s own identity would recognise that Northern Ireland voted to remain and depends, to a greater or lesser extent, on trade with the Republic.

NI remaining in the Single Market/Customs Union has doesn’t make Brexit any less Brexit.

If the DUP didn’t have Theresa May by the short and curlies this is very well where we would have been today. Readying for trade deals for the end of the transition period on 31 December 2020.

It gives England what it wants (out the EU), Northern Ireland what it wants (no border) and reduces the chances of one Ireland.

Pretty good logic.

1andrew1 06-10-2019 16:15

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36012979)
Pretty good logic.

Seconded.

nomadking 06-10-2019 17:45

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36012977)
I actually think a country less insecure about it’s own identity would recognise that Northern Ireland voted to remain and depends, to a greater or lesser extent, on trade with the Republic.

NI remaining in the Single Market/Customs Union has doesn’t make Brexit any less Brexit.

If the DUP didn’t have Theresa May by the short and curlies this is very well where we would have been today. Readying for trade deals for the end of the transition period on 31 December 2020.

It gives England what it wants (out the EU), Northern Ireland what it wants (no border) and reduces the chances of one Ireland.

All that would be the subject of a future agreement. The "deal" can only be about a transitional, unambiguously limited in time one. That is the legal position of the EU treaty.



Remaining in the Single Market/Customs Union is against any notion of Brexit. If the UK is to remain in Single market/Customs Union, then it should be explicitly said and debated, and decided upon. Not by a backdoor method. You have a vote on something that is supposed to end on Dec 31st 2020, when 3 little words actually extends things to eternity. Imagine that sort of thing in any form of contract. It would be declared invalid in no time at all. Would you sign a contract like that? One that is designed specifically to restrict you beyond the term of the contract.



Every single notion of the law and of contracts is being overridden in the name of Remain. Whatever happened to proper scrutiny? How is Parliament expected to debate and vote on a near 600 page document in the course of a few hours? That is why the law states that there should be a minimum of 21 sittings days of Parliament involved. Then there is meant to be lots of other stages involved.

jfman 06-10-2019 17:58

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36012983)
All that would be the subject of a future agreement. The "deal" can only be about a transitional, unambiguously limited in time one. That is the legal position of the EU treaty.

Remaining in the Single Market/Customs Union is against any notion of Brexit. If the UK is to remain in Single market/Customs Union, then it should be explicitly said and debated, and decided upon. Not by a backdoor method. You have a vote on something that is supposed to end on Dec 31st 2020, when 3 little words actually extends things to eternity. Imagine that sort of thing in any form of contract. It would be declared invalid in no time at all. Would you sign a contract like that? One that is designed specifically to restrict you beyond the term of the contract.

Every single notion of the law and of contracts is being overridden in the name of Remain. Whatever happened to proper scrutiny? How is Parliament expected to debate and vote on a near 600 page document in the course of a few hours? That is why the law states that there should be a minimum of 21 sittings days of Parliament involved. Then there is meant to be lots of other stages involved.

Your whole post is entirely irrelevant to the point I made. I'm unsure of the link - grateful if you could address my post directly.

jonbxx 07-10-2019 10:59

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Last week, I had the nice opportunity to be in another EU country for a global meeting and Brexit came up a few times, I can tell you! Here's what I learned from the 'other side';

From a business point of view, the company I work for is regarded as a critical material supplier to our customers so we need to show that we are prepared for any interruptions in manufacturing up to and including complete destruction of our manufacturing plant. Because of this,we store a huge reserve of finished goods off site that isn't touched in case of a disaster.

However, we also need to assess our critical raw material suppliers to ensure our continuity of supply. If raw materials are currently sourced from countries and/or areas that are at risk of interruption of supply, they are closely looked at. We hold large stocks of critical raw materials, especially from countries at risk. Depending on the country, we are also looking at second suppliers from other regions as a fall back position.

Since 2016, the UK is classed as a risk country. Our company sources a number of chemicals from the UK and second suppliers have been found for all of the critical chemicals sourced from the UK to cover any interruption in supply. In the risk management table, we are about equal with Chile right now which I thought was interesting.

Away from the business implications, the main theme from people I met was 'what are you lot playing at?'. This wasn't just from colleagues from other EU countries but people from the US, India, Australia and China. They couldn't understand why we would voluntarily make trade with our closest neighbours harder.

Of course, the people in my meeting are the 'intellectual elite' with many letters after names and high paying jobs. What was illuminating was the same conversation with my taxi driver back to the airport. After confirming which terminal I wanted, the next thing he said was 'so, Brexit then?'! He was asking a lot about what I thought was going to happen and what I thought in general. In return, I asked what he thought about the EU. His feedback was a few years ago, he wasn't in favour of being in the EU but he has softened since our decision to leave. He said the EU wasn't perfect but it was a 'cold world out there' (his words, not mine)

The country I was in was one of the 5 countries that pay a larger proportion of their GNI than the UK does by the way

pip08456 07-10-2019 11:29

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36013049)
Last week, I had the nice opportunity to be in another EU country for a global meeting and Brexit came up a few times, I can tell you! Here's what I learned from the 'other side';

From a business point of view, the company I work for is regarded as a critical material supplier to our customers so we need to show that we are prepared for any interruptions in manufacturing up to and including complete destruction of our manufacturing plant. Because of this,we store a huge reserve of finished goods off site that isn't touched in case of a disaster.

However, we also need to assess our critical raw material suppliers to ensure our continuity of supply. If raw materials are currently sourced from countries and/or areas that are at risk of interruption of supply, they are closely looked at. We hold large stocks of critical raw materials, especially from countries at risk. Depending on the country, we are also looking at second suppliers from other regions as a fall back position.

Since 2016, the UK is classed as a risk country. Our company sources a number of chemicals from the UK and second suppliers have been found for all of the critical chemicals sourced from the UK to cover any interruption in supply. In the risk management table, we are about equal with Chile right now which I thought was interesting.

Away from the business implications, the main theme from people I met was 'what are you lot playing at?'. This wasn't just from colleagues from other EU countries but people from the US, India, Australia and China. They couldn't understand why we would voluntarily make trade with our closest neighbours harder.

Of course, the people in my meeting are the 'intellectual elite' with many letters after names and high paying jobs. What was illuminating was the same conversation with my taxi driver back to the airport. After confirming which terminal I wanted, the next thing he said was 'so, Brexit then?'! He was asking a lot about what I thought was going to happen and what I thought in general. In return, I asked what he thought about the EU. His feedback was a few years ago, he wasn't in favour of being in the EU but he has softened since our decision to leave. He said the EU wasn't perfect but it was a 'cold world out there' (his words, not mine)

The country I was in was one of the 5 countries that pay a larger proportion of their GNI than the UK does by the way

Only Germany is a higher net payer than us.

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-48256318

papa smurf 07-10-2019 11:35

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36013050)
Only Germany is a higher net payer than us.

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-48256318

You have to allow for artistic license in these works of fiction.

Mick 07-10-2019 11:48

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36013049)

Away from the business implications, the main theme from people I met was 'what are you lot playing at?'. This wasn't just from colleagues from other EU countries but people from the US, India, Australia and China. They couldn't understand why we would voluntarily make trade with our closest neighbours harder.

What are us lot playing at?

How rude.

I'd have told everyone who asked that stupid question in that meeting you had, exactly what I thought of them, I would not have given a shit who they were and what grade of pay they were on or whether they were CEO's.

Remember, I once had a face to face meeting with then ntl CEO Simon Duffy and I basically spoke my mind, bollocked him for allowing the closure of nthellworld.com on his watch and he was made to see that the decision to do that was regretful!

Um, but back to the issue at hand - we have chosen to democratically leave the European Union, but because of the pathetic corrupted cretins in the EU are not acting in good faith, i.e there is plenty of video footage of them mocking us during negotiations, wanting to turn us in to a colony, not allowing the UK to thrive on our own - they cannot stand to see the UK succeed without them post Brexit, they are now urging the UK to think again, they want to give us another extention, I say piss off, we chose to leave and leave we must.

ianch99 07-10-2019 12:09

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36013053)
Um, but back to the issue at hand - we have chosen to democratically leave the European Union, but because of the pathetic corrupted cretins in the EU are not acting in good faith, i.e there is plenty of video footage of them mocking us during negotiations, wanting to turn us in to a colony, not allowing the UK to thrive on our own - they cannot stand to see the UK succeed without them post Brexit, they are now urging the UK to think again, they want to give us another extention, I say piss off, we chose to leave and leave we must.

Seems like the same tired old EU insults yet again. :confused: I thought we had to move on?

jonbxx 07-10-2019 12:40

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36013050)
Only Germany is a higher net payer than us.

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-48256318

I was careful to say as a proportion of GNI rather than absolute amount. Yes, only Germany is a larger net contributor in absolute amounts but other countries pay a larger proportion of their GNI. If you measured as a proportion of GDP, then Sweden, Germany and The Netherlands are higher than us.

---------- Post added at 12:40 ---------- Previous post was at 12:31 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36013053)
What are us lot playing at?

How rude.

I'd have told everyone who asked that stupid question in that meeting you had, exactly what I thought of them, I would not have given a shit who they were and what grade of pay they were on or whether they were CEO's.

Yeah, I kinda like my job but also these conversations were informal chats at break times rather than an official company policy and, let's be honest, does anyone, regardless of their Brexit persuasion, think the process is going well and exactly as planned?

I also subscribe to Carl Sagan's quote - "There are naive questions, tedious questions, ill-phrased questions, questions put after inadequate self-criticism. But every question is a cry to understand the world. There is no such thing as a dumb question"

papa smurf 07-10-2019 12:58

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Campaigners' bid to get courts to order no-deal Brexit delay fails


https://news.sky.com/story/campaigne...fails-11829971


campaigners - led by businessman Vince Dale, SNP MP Joanna Cherry QC and Jolyon Maugham QC - launched legal action at the Outer House of the Court of Session.

They wanted a judge to order that Mr Johnson had to send a letter to Brussels asking for the delay.

They also wanted to try and stop the prime minister finding a way around the law, including getting the judge to ban Mr Johnson from asking EU leaders to veto the request.

Their case was dismissed on Monday afternoon.

Mick 07-10-2019 13:13

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36013056)
I was careful to say as a proportion of GNI rather than absolute amount. Yes, only Germany is a larger net contributor in absolute amounts but other countries pay a larger proportion of their GNI. If you measured as a proportion of GDP, then Sweden, Germany and The Netherlands are higher than us.

---------- Post added at 12:40 ---------- Previous post was at 12:31 ----------



Yeah, I kinda like my job but also these conversations were informal chats at break times rather than an official company policy and, let's be honest, does anyone, regardless of their Brexit persuasion, think the process is going well and exactly as planned?

I also subscribe to Carl Sagan's quote - "There are naive questions, tedious questions, ill-phrased questions, questions put after inadequate self-criticism. But every question is a cry to understand the world. There is no such thing as a dumb question"

“What are we playing at?” Has an aggressive tone to it, as if there is no right to hold a view of self determination and leaving the EU.

nomadking 07-10-2019 13:21

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36013049)
Last week, I had the nice opportunity to be in another EU country for a global meeting and Brexit came up a few times, I can tell you! Here's what I learned from the 'other side';

From a business point of view, the company I work for is regarded as a critical material supplier to our customers so we need to show that we are prepared for any interruptions in manufacturing up to and including complete destruction of our manufacturing plant. Because of this,we store a huge reserve of finished goods off site that isn't touched in case of a disaster.

However, we also need to assess our critical raw material suppliers to ensure our continuity of supply. If raw materials are currently sourced from countries and/or areas that are at risk of interruption of supply, they are closely looked at. We hold large stocks of critical raw materials, especially from countries at risk. Depending on the country, we are also looking at second suppliers from other regions as a fall back position.

Since 2016, the UK is classed as a risk country. Our company sources a number of chemicals from the UK and second suppliers have been found for all of the critical chemicals sourced from the UK to cover any interruption in supply. In the risk management table, we are about equal with Chile right now which I thought was interesting.

Away from the business implications, the main theme from people I met was 'what are you lot playing at?'. This wasn't just from colleagues from other EU countries but people from the US, India, Australia and China. They couldn't understand why we would voluntarily make trade with our closest neighbours harder.

Of course, the people in my meeting are the 'intellectual elite' with many letters after names and high paying jobs. What was illuminating was the same conversation with my taxi driver back to the airport. After confirming which terminal I wanted, the next thing he said was 'so, Brexit then?'! He was asking a lot about what I thought was going to happen and what I thought in general. In return, I asked what he thought about the EU. His feedback was a few years ago, he wasn't in favour of being in the EU but he has softened since our decision to leave. He said the EU wasn't perfect but it was a 'cold world out there' (his words, not mine)

The country I was in was one of the 5 countries that pay a larger proportion of their GNI than the UK does by the way

List by country
France(0.70%) and even Romania(0.67%) may pay more as % of their GNI than the UK(0.46%), but they get more back. The net difference being France 0.12%. Germany 0.26%, the UK 0.18%, Ireland -0.01%, Poland a massive -1.99%(That's €9bn:shocked: net they get). Remember the UK gets a 66% rebate, which the EU is itching to remove, if it hasn't done so already. Does that bump up our expected(future?) contribution to a whopping 1.38% of GNI?

Even with the rebate, the UK had been forecast(by the OBR in 2017) to have net contribution of £17.405 billion (£335 million per week) in 2022.
Link to pdf
It's on page 19.


Any money we get back is taken off the rebate, therefore at least 66% of the money has come from the UK in the first place, ie for every £3 of funding, £2 is knocked off the rebate and added to what we pay in. Factor that in and we actually get an even lower rate of EU funding, nearer 0.10%, ie €2bn, not €6bn.

jonbxx 07-10-2019 16:06

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36013065)
“What are we playing at?” Has an aggressive tone to it, as if there is no right to hold a view of self determination and leaving the EU.

That is the danger of a text only medium. It certainly didn't come over as aggressive when face to face. It was a wry amusement and certainly no malice was intended as, rightly, there nothing that I and the one other Brit there could influence as individuals.

---------- Post added at 16:06 ---------- Previous post was at 15:59 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36013068)
List by country
France(0.70%) and even Romania(0.67%) may pay more as % of their GNI than the UK(0.46%), but they get more back. The net difference being France 0.12%. Germany 0.26%, the UK 0.18%, Ireland -0.01%, Poland a massive -1.99%(That's €9bn:shocked: net they get). Remember the UK gets a 66% rebate, which the EU is itching to remove, if it hasn't done so already. Does that bump up our expected(future?) contribution to a whopping 1.38% of GNI?

Even with the rebate, the UK had been forecast(by the OBR in 2017) to have net contribution of £17.405 billion (£335 million per week) in 2022.
Link to pdf
It's on page 19.


Any money we get back is taken off the rebate, therefore at least 66% of the money has come from the UK in the first place, ie for every £3 of funding, £2 is knocked off the rebate and added to what we pay in. Factor that in and we actually get an even lower rate of EU funding, nearer 0.10%, ie €2bn, not €6bn.

Yeah, I have double checking my figures and it does depend on how you measure things I guess.

I have been using this report from September 2019 covering the 2017 budget - http://researchbriefings.files.parli...55/SN06455.pdf

According to table 3, we are the second highest net contributors. However, according to table 4 where we look at contribution per head, we are fifth. My initial numbers came from the second table on this site - https://fullfact.org/europe/uk-one-b...ors-eu-budget/ which covers the 2014-16 budget round

nomadking 07-10-2019 16:53

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36013084)
That is the danger of a text only medium. It certainly didn't come over as aggressive when face to face. It was a wry amusement and certainly no malice was intended as, rightly, there nothing that I and the one other Brit there could influence as individuals.

---------- Post added at 16:06 ---------- Previous post was at 15:59 ----------



Yeah, I have double checking my figures and it does depend on how you measure things I guess.

I have been using this report from September 2019 covering the 2017 budget - http://researchbriefings.files.parli...55/SN06455.pdf

According to table 3, we are the second highest net contributors. However, according to table 4 where we look at contribution per head, we are fifth. My initial numbers came from the second table on this site - https://fullfact.org/europe/uk-one-b...ors-eu-budget/ which covers the 2014-16 budget round

From your first link.
Quote:

MFF 2021-2027 may also be relevant to the UK if the UK remains part of the Customs Union or Single Market beyond the end of the transition on 31 December 2020. In such a scenario the Committee considers “it likely that the UK would be asked to make a continued financial contribution commensurate in some way with its participation in EU structures.
IE the backstop.

Hugh 07-10-2019 17:35

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36013061)
Campaigners' bid to get courts to order no-deal Brexit delay fails


https://news.sky.com/story/campaigne...fails-11829971


campaigners - led by businessman Vince Dale, SNP MP Joanna Cherry QC and Jolyon Maugham QC - launched legal action at the Outer House of the Court of Session.

They wanted a judge to order that Mr Johnson had to send a letter to Brussels asking for the delay.

They also wanted to try and stop the prime minister finding a way around the law, including getting the judge to ban Mr Johnson from asking EU leaders to veto the request.

Their case was dismissed on Monday afternoon.

What a defeat - the judge said BJ/HMG will comply fully with the Law.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotla...itics-49959167

Quote:

In his ruling, Lord Pentland said the UK government had accepted it must "comply fully" with the act and would not seek to "frustrate its purpose".

As a result, he said there was "no proper basis" on which the court could decide that the government would fail to deliver on that undertaking.

The judge ruled that the UK government's public statements were an expression of its "political policy" and were "clearly not intended to be taken as conclusive statements of the government's understanding of its legal obligations".

Lord Pentland said the prime minister and the government had given "unequivocal assurances" to comply with the 2019 Act.

As a result, he was "not persuaded that it was necessary for the court to grant the orders sought or any variant of them".

Mick 07-10-2019 18:06

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36013103)
What a defeat - the judge said BJ/HMG will comply fully with the Law.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotla...itics-49959167

Yes but which one ?

As we know, Benn Act requires Johnson to seek an extension to Brexit if parliament has not approved either a deal or leaving without a deal by October 19, however, Primary legislation still exists in the form of a different law, the European Union Withdrawal Act, states Britain will leave the EU on October 31. Which of these laws takes precedence, matters a lot.

The government has repeatedly said only that it will comply with "the law", without actually specifying which one. It may try and argue that it is following the law by taking Britain out on October 31st. ;)

papa smurf 07-10-2019 18:18

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36013107)
Yes but which one ?

As we know, Benn Act requires Johnson to seek an extension to Brexit if parliament has not approved either a deal or leaving without a deal by October 19, however, Primary legislation still exists in the form of a different law, the European Union Withdrawal Act, states Britain will leave the EU on October 31. Which of these laws takes precedence, matters a lot.

The government has repeatedly said only that it will comply with "the law", without actually specifying which one. It may try and argue that it is following the law by taking Britain out on October 31st. ;)

I'm sure he will comply with the Law as he understands it.

jfman 07-10-2019 18:22

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36013107)
Yes but which one ?

As we know, Benn Act requires Johnson to seek an extension to Brexit if parliament has not approved either a deal or leaving without a deal by October 19, however, Primary legislation still exists in the form of a different law, the European Union Withdrawal Act, states Britain will leave the EU on October 31. Which of these laws takes precedence, matters a lot.

The government has repeatedly said only that it will comply with "the law", without actually specifying which one. It may try and argue that it is following the law by taking Britain out on October 31st. ;)

The Withdrawal Act itself doesn’t facilitate leaving, it would make our laws incompatible with EU law, but it doesn’t actually change our status as members of the EU.

nomadking 07-10-2019 19:57

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
As I've pointed before the principal behind the law and this case, is completely ludicrous. It is designed to be unachievable. UK Parliament won't say or even indicate what they would agree to, and the only thing the EU has said it would agree to, has been turned down 3 times. According to EU law, Article 50(2), the legal onus is on the EU to "negotiate and conclude an agreement". They seem to be the ones that legally have to give way. If so, that also seems unreasonable as there is no obligation on the withdrawing state to agree to anything. In those circumstances an agreement couldn't be "concluded".
Quote:

A Member State which decides to withdraw shall notify the European Council of its intention. In the light of the guidelines provided by the European Council, the Union shall negotiate and conclude an agreement with that State, setting out the arrangements for its withdrawal, taking account of the framework for its future relationship with the Union. That agreement shall be negotiated in accordance with Article 218(3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. It shall be concluded on behalf of the Union by the Council, acting by a qualified majority, after obtaining the consent of the European Parliament.

All rather sinister. Worse than Rumpelstiltskin's game. At least that had an answer, although you weren't meant to know it.
Quote:

He finally consents to give up his claim to the child if she can guess his name within three days (some versions have the imp limiting the number of daily guesses to three and hence the total number of guesses allowed to a maximum of nine).

Pierre 07-10-2019 20:07

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36013119)
As I've pointed before the principal behind the law and this case, is completely ludicrous. It is designed to be unachievable. UK Parliament won't say or even indicate what they would agree to, and the only thing the EU has said it would agree to, has been turned down 3 times. According to EU law, Article 50(2), the legal onus is on the EU to "negotiate and conclude an agreement". They seem to be the ones that legally have to give way. If so, that also seems unreasonable as there is no obligation on the withdrawing state to agree to anything. In those circumstances an agreement couldn't be "concluded".

I think the EU would argue they have done that. They negotiated a deal with the “U.K. Government” and which the government concluded an agreement.

There is nothing there that says the EU must conclude an agreement with the nations Parliament.

This where the whole thing is off the rails, we have Gina Miller to thank for it.

There is no way a deal can be done now with the UK Parliament in its current state. The only form of Brexit available at the moment is to leave without a withdrawal agreement and negotiate a deal from outside the EU.

nomadking 07-10-2019 20:39

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36013122)
I think the EU would argue they have done that. They negotiated a deal with the “U.K. Government” and which the government concluded an agreement.

There is nothing there that says the EU must conclude an agreement with the nations Parliament.

This where the whole thing is off the rails, we have Gina Miller to thank for it.

There is no way a deal can be done now with the UK Parliament in its current state. The only form of Brexit available at the moment is to leave without a withdrawal agreement and negotiate a deal from outside the EU.

There are 2 "deals" in the arena. The first is the withdrawal agreement, the 2nd future agreement has always been from the position of being outside the EU. The 1st agreement is only meant to be a temporary, transitional one. Negotiations on the 2nd can't even start until we have left the EU. Far too much inherent ambiguity and misunderstanding over what people are meaning when they talk about "the deal". There is the sense that people seem to think that "the deal" is an ongoing one, and the only one that will ever be needed. Far from it, whatever happens, we will have to go through this all again in the near future.

jfman 07-10-2019 20:42

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Although for that period we won't trade with the EU on WTO terms, allowing adequate time for genuine preparations for the new trade conditions.

Pierre 07-10-2019 20:48

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36013125)
There are 2 "deals" in the arena. The first is the withdrawal agreement, the 2nd future agreement has always been from the position of being outside the EU. The 1st agreement is only meant to be a temporary, transitional one. Negotiations on the 2nd can't even start until we have left the EU. Far too much inherent ambiguity and misunderstanding over what people are meaning when they talk about "the deal". There is the sense that people seem to think that "the deal" is an ongoing one, and the only one that will ever be needed. Far from it, whatever happens, we will have to go through this all again in the near future.

Exactly, which is why it is all smoke an mirrors, the “Withdrawal agreement” just facilitates, or should just facilitate, an orderly departure from the EU.

Everything else is totally up for grabs, but we will be doing that from outside the EU.

So orderly departure or not, everything still needs to be negotiated.

There’s no such thing as a “ no deal” Brexit, that’s why it’s just a tactic to stop Brexit totally.

There’s an agreed and orderly departure, or not. Then a deal.

Mr K 07-10-2019 20:50

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Getting a bit bored with all this now. 'Cutting your nose off to spite your face' sums up this country and Brexit. By the time we've become a down-market British version of Trump's USA, the USA will have long moved on from Trump,...

Pierre 07-10-2019 20:53

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36013128)
Getting a bit bored with all this now. 'Cutting your nose off to spite your face' sums up this country and Brexit. By the time we've become a down-market British version of Trump's USA, the USA will have long moved on from Trump,...

I’m getting bored with this point of view.

1andrew1 07-10-2019 20:57

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36013129)
I’m getting bored with this point of view.

If there was a second Brexit vote, would you vote Remain or Leave?

nomadking 07-10-2019 20:57

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
If we and the EU are "ready as we'll ever be", then the WA is not supposedly needed by anybody.

Hugh 07-10-2019 21:08

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36013107)
Yes but which one ?

As we know, Benn Act requires Johnson to seek an extension to Brexit if parliament has not approved either a deal or leaving without a deal by October 19, however, Primary legislation still exists in the form of a different law, the European Union Withdrawal Act, states Britain will leave the EU on October 31. Which of these laws takes precedence, matters a lot.

The government has repeatedly said only that it will comply with "the law", without actually specifying which one. It may try and argue that it is following the law by taking Britain out on October 31st. ;)

Well, the judgement specified that

Quote:

In paragraph 8 of the answers lodged on behalf of the Advocate General the following averments are set out:
“... Explained and averred that the Prime Minister accepts in relation to the 2019 Act:

(a) That, subject to section 1(5), in the event that neither of the conditions set out in section 1(1) and (2) is satisfied, he will send a letter in the form set out in the schedule by no later than 19 October 2019:
section 1(3) and (4).

(b) That, subject to section 1(5), in the event that the European Council (“EC”) decides to agree to any extension for the period specified in the letter, he is obliged immediately to notify the President of the EC that the United Kingdom agrees to that extension: section 3(1).

(c) That, subject to section 1(5), in the event that the EC decides to agree to an extension until a date other than the date specified in the letter, he is obliged to notify the President of the EC within the period specified in section 3(2) that the United Kingdom agrees to that extension, this obligation being disapplied if the House of Commons has decided not to pass a motion of the kind specified in section 3(3).

(d) That he is subject to the public law principle that he cannot frustrate its purpose or the purpose of its provisions. Thus he cannot act so as to prevent the letter requesting the specified extension in the Act from being sent.”

Mr Webster confirmed in the course of the hearing that these averments contained the first detailed public expression of the Prime Minister’s intentions with regard to the legal obligations imposed on him by the 2019 Act.
https://www.scotcourts.gov.uk/docs/d...7.pdf?sfvrsn=0

The judgement refers to BJ’s submission to the Court he will carry out the actions stated in the Benn Bill.

It also states
Quote:

Section 5(3) states that the provisions of the Act override any statutory or other provision which would otherwise require the UK to leave the EU on any specified date.

nomadking 07-10-2019 21:15

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36013130)
If there was a second Brexit vote, would you vote Remain or Leave?

But what would and could any 2nd vote be about? "Deal" vs "No Deal", is still "Leave" either way. A Remain campaign would be based upon bullying and outright lies.
Eg Link
Quote:

Grieve responded that the Leavers "repeatedly said we would leave with a deal and never said we would be leaving without one. It's right that David Cameron said that was a risk, I also said it was a risk, the fact is that those promoting leave did not."
As I've pointed out, the "deal" referred to in Grieve comments is one on which negotiations haven't even started. We wouldn't be leaving without a "deal", in his sense of the word. We can't leave with one. If anything, agreeing to the WA blocks any future deal, as it locks us in with the backstop. Nothing further that the EU will agree to, as they wouldn't need to.

---------- Post added at 21:15 ---------- Previous post was at 21:12 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36013133)
Well, the judgement specified that



https://www.scotcourts.gov.uk/docs/d...7.pdf?sfvrsn=0

The judgement refers to BJ’s submission to the Court he will carry out the actions stated in the Benn Bill.

It also states

But it can't override Primary Law. A Statutory Instrument is a different thing.

jfman 07-10-2019 21:27

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
The original Withdrawal Act doesn’t mean we leave, it only transposes EU legislation into UK law and claims we aren’t signatory to a Treaty that in reality we are.

If the UK and EU agree an extension the reality is we remain. For the Government to extend (with the EU) and not amend exit day in the Act simply means we could get legal challenges. It doesn’t mean we leave on the 31st October.

Pierre 07-10-2019 21:37

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36013130)
If there was a second Brexit vote, would you vote Remain or Leave?

I think I’ve made my position very clear over the years.

I voted Remain, pre-referendum the EU wasn’t even on my radar. It just was what it was. I cared as much about the EU as much as I cared about my Local Authority. Not a lot.

But what I am, is a Democrat. It’s what separates us, or is supposed to, from despots, tyrants and dictators or is supposed to.

We lost, and immediately said to Mrs Pierre, this will be bad, but here we are.

What I have witnessed since the referendum result has just disgusted me, and it has turned me from a remainer to a fervent Brexiteer - and not because I believe in Brexit - but I believe we have to enact the decision that was made.

A few points, I knew what we were voting for, that’s why I voted Remain. I knew what Leave meant. My version, Based on what I was told, and read and watched, was leaving the SM, CU and jurisdiction of the ECJ ( of nearly all things, I recognised there may be some areas they could still be involved with). If it’s not those three things it’s not Brexit and not the worth trouble we’ve gone through.

So, to answer you, if there was another Ref, I would vote leave.

Another point, I am a well educated, professional person, that earns in the higher tax bracket, as does my wife. Who both voted Remain and would both now vote leave. The same can be said of my sister, and I don’t we are an isolated case.

Parliament is a disgrace and an embarrassment.

---------- Post added at 21:37 ---------- Previous post was at 21:34 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36013138)
The original Withdrawal Act doesn’t mean we leave, it only transposes EU legislation into UK law and claims we aren’t signatory to a Treaty that in reality we are.

We heard you the first time.

Quote:

If the UK and EU agree an extension the reality is we remain.
no shit?


Quote:

For the Government to extend (with the EU) and not amend exit day in the Act simply means we could get legal challenges. It doesn’t mean we leave on the 31st October.
I have no idea who you are talking to, or about.

nomadking 07-10-2019 21:47

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36013138)
The original Withdrawal Act doesn’t mean we leave, it only transposes EU legislation into UK law and claims we aren’t signatory to a Treaty that in reality we are.

If the UK and EU agree an extension the reality is we remain. For the Government to extend (with the EU) and not amend exit day in the Act simply means we could get legal challenges. It doesn’t mean we leave on the 31st October.

EU directives are already in UK law, Each EU nation has to do that. The transposing of EU rules has already been done.
The WA doesn't start until after we leave.
From Explainer on WA.
Quote:

3. The Withdrawal Agreement provides for:
...
c. a time-limited implementation period that provides certainty to
businesses and individuals and ensures they only have to adjust to
one set of changes in line with the future relationship with the EU;
...

15. The Bill must pass before the UK leaves the EU on 29 March 2019 in order
for the Withdrawal Agreement to have domestic legal effect and for the Government
to ratify the Withdrawal Agreement.
The UK’s future relationship with the EU, which
will not be finalised until after the UK’s exit from the EU, will be implemented as
necessary in separate legislation.

16. The Withdrawal Agreement will also be subject to the provisions of the
Constitutional Reform and Governance Act (CRaG) 2010. Following this, the treaty
will be ratified, and can enter into force.
The "extensions" constantly referred to, are the start date of the WA, not the end date. There would become a point in time where any time extensions to the WA, would mean it was no longer a transitional, unambiguously limited in time agreement, and no further extension would be legal, even under EU law.

jfman 07-10-2019 21:52

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36013140)
I think I’ve made my position very clear over the years.

I voted Remain, pre-referendum the EU wasn’t even on my radar. It just was what it was. I cared as much about the EU as much as I cared about my Local Authority. Not a lot.

But what I am, is a Democrat. It’s what separates us, or is supposed to, from despots, tyrants and dictators or is supposed to.

We lost, and immediately said to Mrs Pierre, this will be bad, but here we are.

What I have witnessed since the referendum result has just disgusted me, and it has turned me from a remainer to a fervent Brexiteer - and not because I believe in Brexit - but I believe we have to enact the decision that was made.

A few points, I knew what we were voting for, that’s why I voted Remain. I knew what Leave meant. My version, Based on what I was told, and read and watched, was leaving the SM, CU and jurisdiction of the ECJ ( of nearly all things, I recognised there may be some areas they could still be involved with). If it’s not those three things it’s not Brexit and not the worth trouble we’ve gone through.

So, to answer you, if there was another Ref, I would vote leave.

Another point, I am a well educated, professional person, that earns in the higher tax bracket, as does my wife. Who both voted Remain and would both now vote leave. The same can be said of my sister, and I don’t we are an isolated case.

Parliament is a disgrace and an embarrassment.

We heard you the first time.

no shit?


I have no idea who you are talking to, or about.

At least you admit you have no idea about what’s going on, I suppose. Quite refreshing honesty from a Brexiteer. I commend you for it.

---------- Post added at 21:52 ---------- Previous post was at 21:51 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36013143)
The WA doesn't start until after we leave.
From Explainer on WA.
The "extensions" constantly referred to, are the start date of the WA, not the end date. There would become a point in time where any time extensions to the WA, would mean it was no longer a transitional, unambiguously limited in time agreement, and no further extension would be legal, even under EU law.

I was referring to the Withdrawl Act not the Withdrawal Agreement.

Pierre 07-10-2019 22:27

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36013144)
At least you admit you have no idea about what’s going on, I suppose. Quite refreshing honesty from a Brexiteer. I commend you for it.

Well you’ll have to enlighten me where I said “ I have no idea what’s going on”

Because I didn’t say that. In fact I specifically said the contrary.

You know recent posts from you are just getting more unhinged. You need to get horizontal for a time, i’m Worried for you.

Damien 07-10-2019 22:42

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Just leave at the end of the month. No Election. Let Boris Johnson and the Tories get what they want and deal with the consequences if it's not as good as they say.

Nothing stopping us getting a closer UK-EU deal later on, after the election does happen.

Pierre 07-10-2019 22:49

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36013162)
Just leave at the end of the month. No Election. Let Boris Johnson and the Tories get what they want and deal with the consequences if it's not as good as they say.

Nothing stopping us getting a closer UK-EU deal later on, after the election does happen.

If you’re serious, I agree.

---------- Post added at 22:49 ---------- Previous post was at 22:44 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36013144)
At least you admit you have no idea about what’s going on, I suppose. Quite refreshing honesty from a Brexiteer. I commend you for it.

I think I see where you are coming from now. Just to avoid confusion I was specifically talking about you. Not the issue. It’s you I have no idea about. I’m worried for you.

Damien 07-10-2019 22:50

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36013163)
If you’re serious, I agree.

Well it's more of a cry of exacerbation but there is a part of me that wants Brexiters to get exactly what they're advocating for otherwise it'll be like the 'socialism has never been tried' thing. Anything less than No Deal Brexit will always be said to have been 'not proper Brexit' as a cop-out.

Of course if I am wrong and it all works out then fair play: win-win almost.

That said I am not convinced the blame if things do go wrong will not be about looking inwards but blaming others.

1andrew1 07-10-2019 22:50

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Are you a red tape loving anti-business Corbynista? Then a no-deal Brexit is just up your street!

Quote:

Red tape bill for UK-EU trade under no-deal Brexit set to hit £15bn a year
Businesses would be hit with an annual £15bn bill for filling in customs forms for trade between the UK and the EU in the event of a no-deal Brexit, according to a British government paper published on Monday.
Companies in the UK and EU would face “a significant new and ongoing administrative burden” if Britain were to crash out of the bloc, the assessment by HM Revenue & Customs warned.
https://www.ft.com/content/30c58758-...0-3b065ef5fc55

nomadking 08-10-2019 00:17

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36013166)
Are you a red tape loving anti-business Corbynista? Then a no-deal Brexit is just up your street!


https://www.ft.com/content/30c58758-...0-3b065ef5fc55

We still crash out of the EU and have those alleged extra costs at the end of the "deal"/WA.


Just one item of Corbyn's proposed spending amounts to £250bn. That's a declared specific amount, not one estimated in any way.

jfman 08-10-2019 07:31

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36013163)
If you’re serious, I agree.

---------- Post added at 22:49 ---------- Previous post was at 22:44 ----------



I think I see where you are coming from now. Just to avoid confusion I was specifically talking about you. Not the issue. It’s you I have no idea about. I’m worried for you.

No need.

You said you had no idea what I was on about when I'm explaining that the legislation isn't in conflict. Both serve different functions. By your own admission you either fail to understand, or see the relevance of, the point being made. A point which contradicts the "understanding" of others on the forum.

If you don't have anything constructive to add I'm happy to leave the point here.

Pierre 08-10-2019 08:35

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36013173)
No need.

You said you had no idea what I was on about when I'm explaining that the legislation isn't in conflict. Both serve different functions. By your own admission you either fail to understand, or see the relevance of, the point being made. A point which contradicts the "understanding" of others on the forum.

If you don't have anything constructive to add I'm happy to leave the point here.

I’m sorry, but now when I read your posts all get is visual static/ white noise.

jfman 08-10-2019 08:42

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36013174)
I’m sorry, but now when I read your posts all get is visual static/ white noise.

Again your inability to comprehend isn't my problem. I once again invite you to be constructive to the discussion.

Maggy 08-10-2019 08:47

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Right! Everyone needs to calm down and discuss/debate any NEW developments in a civilised manner not rehash old arguments over and over again.Finish taking potshots at each other.

ianch99 08-10-2019 09:03

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36013162)
Just leave at the end of the month. No Election. Let Boris Johnson and the Tories get what they want and deal with the consequences if it's not as good as they say.

Nothing stopping us getting a closer UK-EU deal later on, after the election does happen.

I understand your frustration but your proposition is worrying to say the least. You think the Hard Brexit folks should have their toys to play with and possibly trash the country because you are frustrated? No consideration for the majority who do not want this outcome or the impact on those who literally cannot afford No Deal?

This is exactly the thinking that Cummings, Farage, et al are relying on: "Make It Stop, I Don't Care Anymore" ..

jfman 08-10-2019 09:40

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36013179)
I understand your frustration but your proposition is worrying to say the least. You think the Hard Brexit folks should have their toys to play with and possibly trash the country because you are frustrated? No consideration for the majority who do not want this outcome or the impact on those who literally cannot afford No Deal?

This is exactly the thinking that Cummings, Farage, et al are relying on: "Make It Stop, I Don't Care Anymore" ..

It's a clear strategy to heighten public frustration. I think much of the "easiest negotiation in history" myths haven't helped. Whether we extend or leave we are still in for years of negotiations with the EU (and others). Probably decades. It's far from a quick win. Even Rees-Mogg conceded this it could take fifty years. Presumably his hedge fund sees quicker returns.

ianch99 08-10-2019 10:16

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36013182)
It's a clear strategy to heighten public frustration. I think much of the "easiest negotiation in history" myths haven't helped. Whether we extend or leave we are still in for years of negotiations with the EU (and others). Probably decades. It's far from a quick win. Even Rees-Mogg conceded this it could take fifty years. Presumably his hedge fund sees quicker returns.

In regards to the years of negotiations, the ones with the EU will be interesting. The overnight report from a "contact in Number 10" detailed on the spectator.co.uk website is illuminating:

https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2019/1...-negotiations/

Quote:

Earlier today, I sent a message to a contact in Number 10 asking them how the Brexit talks were going. They sent a long reply which I think gives a pretty clear sense of where they think things are.

So, in the interest of trying to let people understand where Number 10 reckon the negotiations are, here is their response
The response is long with the usual "blame the Irish" stratagem but this part is fascinating and will surely, if true, wind up "our friends and partners" on the continent:

Quote:

We will make clear privately and publicly that countries which oppose delay will go the front of the queue for future cooperation — cooperation on things both within and outside EU competences. Those who support delay will go to the bottom of the queue. [This source also made clear that defence and security cooperation will inevitably be affected if the EU tries to keep Britain in against the will of its government] Supporting delay will be seen by this government as hostile interference in domestic politics, and over half of the public will agree with us.
This has Cumming's thinking written all over it .. so must be true :)

Carth 08-10-2019 10:47

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Above article (blog) written by James Forsyth.


James Forsyth is Political Editor of the Spectator. He is also a columnist in The Sun.

:D :D :D

denphone 08-10-2019 10:57

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36013189)
Above article (blog) written by James Forsyth.


James Forsyth is Political Editor of the Spectator. He is also a columnist in The Sun.

:D :D :D

That pretty much says everything.;)

ianch99 08-10-2019 10:59

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36013189)
Above article (blog) written by James Forsyth.


James Forsyth is Political Editor of the Spectator. He is also a columnist in The Sun.

:D :D :D

And your point is what?

nomadking 08-10-2019 11:04

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36013186)
In regards to the years of negotiations, the ones with the EU will be interesting. The overnight report from a "contact in Number 10" detailed on the spectator.co.uk website is illuminating:

https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2019/1...-negotiations/

The response is long with the usual "blame the Irish" stratagem but this part is fascinating and will surely, if true, wind up "our friends and partners" on the continent:

This has Cumming's thinking written all over it .. so must be true :)

The backstop and it's deliberate permanency IS the fault of the Irish, and against EU law in article 50. It wasn't on the EUs radar until the Irish brought it up.

The Guardian

Quote:

The Irish goal was to get the border into a legally binding withdrawal agreement – Dublin’s point of maximum leverage – rather than future trade relations, when Dublin would struggle to be heard.
...
After Leo Varadkar succeeded Kenny in June 2017 the Irish pressed their advantage. The new taoiseach wanted a “win”, said one Fine Gael party colleague, and squeezing the Brits proved popular.
According to EU law, it can only be there as part of future trade relations, even if the UK agreed to it.
Have the terms "transitional", "limited in time", and "future" been magically redefined?

The EU and the Remain crowd have thrown out all sense of logic, reason, legality, and democracy. All perfectly ok because it's the UK(especially) on the receiving end. Would any other country be expected to put up with this? If any other country had(before the UK) wanted to leave the EU, would they be subjected to all this? Or would all sense of logic, reason, legality, and democracy have mysteriously remained intact? Would Scotland and Wales be treated like this, if they voted for independence?

jfman 08-10-2019 11:16

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
In answer to your final question, probably, yes.

Literally the island of Ireland voted for independence and we partitioned it.

Damien 08-10-2019 11:26

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36013189)
Above article (blog) written by James Forsyth.


James Forsyth is Political Editor of the Spectator. He is also a columnist in The Sun.

:D :D :D

Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36013191)
That pretty much says everything.;)


James Forsyth is a good reporter and clearly has good sources, not sure what the problem is?

OLD BOY 08-10-2019 11:36

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36013179)
I understand your frustration but your proposition is worrying to say the least. You think the Hard Brexit folks should have their toys to play with and possibly trash the country because you are frustrated? No consideration for the majority who do not want this outcome or the impact on those who literally cannot afford No Deal?

This is exactly the thinking that Cummings, Farage, et al are relying on: "Make It Stop, I Don't Care Anymore" ..

No-one's trying to 'trash the country' apart from the Corbynistas. A Brexit without a withdrawal agreement is not the disaster you and other remainers are trying to convince people it will be.

The majority want to leave the EU, and this is a majority decision. If the EU won't co-operate, we leave without a deal. It's time all remainers accepted that. Enough of the nonsense, let's just get on with it. After it happens, people will start to wonder what all the fuss was about.

The planes will not fall from the sky. You will still be able to holiday in Europe. The food and medicines will be available as usual. Etc.

nomadking 08-10-2019 11:39

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36013197)
In answer to your final question, probably, yes.

Literally the island of Ireland voted for independence and we partitioned it.

So what ongoing impositions, like the backstop, were placed on Ireland? Which laws were ignored without being legally and fairly changed?

jfman 08-10-2019 11:47

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36013199)
No-one's trying to 'trash the country' apart from the Corbynistas. A Brexit without a withdrawal agreement is not the disaster you and other remainers are trying to convince people it will be.

The majority want to leave the EU, and this is a majority decision. If the EU won't co-operate, we leave without a deal. It's time all remainers accepted that. Enough of the nonsense, let's just get on with it. After it happens, people will start to wonder what all the fuss was about.

The planes will not fall from the sky. You will still be able to holiday in Europe. The food and medicines will be available as usual. Etc.

You can't actually evidence that any of your prediction is true. Stick to predicting the imminent death of linear television, it's got marginally more credibility. Marginally.

Nobody has said we won't be able to holiday, only that it'll be more expensive to do so. This is true already. Nor has anyone predicted planes falling from the sky. You are conflating genuine risk with the ridiculous to try and minimise its importance.

Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36013200)
So what ongoing impositions, like the backstop, were placed on Ireland? Which laws were ignored without being legally and fairly changed?

The literal existence of Northern Ireland.

Pierre 08-10-2019 13:47

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36013201)

Literally the island of Ireland voted for independence and we partitioned it.

The literal existence of Northern Ireland.

You need to go back to school.

jfman 08-10-2019 13:58

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36013211)
You need to go back to school.

I don't. Ireland voted for independence. Got partitioned by Britain. I'd invite you to point out what part isn't true but don't want to sidetrack the discussion further.

Ironic that is why we are now in this mess, trying to protect our crumbled Empire.

ntluser 08-10-2019 14:03

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Currently as EU members we are subject to the EU four freedoms and operating on a legal & trading framework acceptable to the EU and the UK..

When we leave we hope to shed the Freedom Of Movement requirement and the legal and trading frameworks may well be different and these are the barriers to our deal with the EU.

The problems with immigration were mainly due to the government failing to deal with the consequences of immigration like shortages of doctors, dentists, teachers, appropriate school places, jobs and affordable housing, all things that the government could address.

To satisfy the EU, Boris will need to remove the Freedom Of Movement red line thus allowing the people of Ireland & Ulster to move freely between both areas.

He will also need to equalise the legal & trading conditions on both sides of the Irish border so that, rights, responsibilities, procedures, protocols etc are the same, with the exception that issues raised in Ireland will be dealt with by the EU courts and issues in Ulster will be dealt with by the UK courts. When the same issue is raised in both areas, an Arbitration panel consisting say of 2 EU judges & 2 UK judges would look at the issue and try to find a mutually acceptable & legal solution. In effect, trading will just be as if we were still in the EU but the EU jurisdiction will only apply in Ireland as the UK jurisdiction will be in Ulster.

Given the bullying, bull-in-a china-shop tactics used by Boris, he has not only upset our EU friends but he has also failed to renegotiate our exit, apparently aiming to leave the EU at all costs without really trying to make a deal. He may well find leaving the EU like that to be satisfactory but there are plenty of poor people & businesses who will not. The massive borrowing required will not only put us further in debt but will also bring further years of austerity which can be avoided,

My bet is that neither he or Stephen Barclay have even asked the EU if such changes would make a difference and until he does he cannot really say that no deal is the only option.

I will also bet than no journalists have questioned Boris , Michel Barnier or Donald Tusk about discussing such changes in the Brexit negotiations.

Given the repeated requests from the EU for written proposals, it is the UK government which is at fault for belatedly supplying the ill thought-out proposals recently submitted.

No-one in government seems to be asking what the EU concerns are and as we do not know what they are how can the government address them.

The whole process has been a shambles from start to finish. Lots of ordinary people will suffer if we crash out of the EU like this.

I can only hope that all politicians involved will use some common sense and bring this deal to a successful conclusion.


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