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-   -   Will Scotland Leave the UK? (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33684496)

Mr Angry 29-03-2014 22:52

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35684544)
Bottom line is we don't want a currency union with Scotland. Doesn't matter if it may or may not work. We don't, and won't have it.

Which is exactly what I said here.

"It's not a matter of it not being "doable" but more the fact that there is no will to do it"

Pierre 29-03-2014 23:09

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Angry (Post 35684547)
Which is exactly what I said here.

"It's not a matter of it not being "doable" but more the fact that there is no will to do it"

Well that's all right then...........carry on!

Mr Angry 29-03-2014 23:42

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35684551)
Well that's all right then...........carry on!

Thanks.

Jimi 30-03-2014 07:39

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RizzyKing (Post 35684447)
How many more declarations need to be made before it is fully understood that voting yes means no pound this is getting farcical and is just dragging the whole debate totally off other issues which might be what the SNP want. It isn't just about getting independence it's about being credible if you get it which I doubt many believe the SNP are which is hardly going to get others to give salmond the sweetheart deals he has promised the Scottish people. This whole thing is making Scotland look a bit of a joke not what the Scottish people need.

I think we ALL know who the real jokers are,don't we.
[img]Download Failed (1)[/img]

Mr Banana 30-03-2014 09:23

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jimi (Post 35684563)
I think we ALL know who the real jokers are,don't we.
[img]Download Failed (1)[/img]

We certainly do Jimi! Funny that the GOVERNMENT say different to that paper. Wonder which one is telling the truth.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotlan...itics-26477209

Mr Pharmacist 30-03-2014 09:45

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
1 Attachment(s)
What we'll hear next is "We'll do another deal. You let us keep the £ and we'll bin independence" :p: http://www.cableforum.co.uk/board/at...1&d=1396168899

Sirius 30-03-2014 10:11

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jimi (Post 35684563)
I think we ALL know who the real jokers are,don't we.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v3...ps70de4d2f.jpg

Is that a cheap version of the mail :LOL:

dilli-theclaw 30-03-2014 10:15

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Pharmacist (Post 35684574)
What we'll hear next is "We'll do another deal. You let us keep the £ and we'll bin independence" :p: http://www.cableforum.co.uk/board/at...1&d=1396168899

Reminds me of Chemical Ali ;)

Mr Angry 30-03-2014 10:21

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Do you mean "Comical Ali" Muhammed Saeed al-Saha ?

dilli-theclaw 30-03-2014 10:33

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jimi (Post 35684563)
I think we ALL know who the real jokers are,don't we.

That we can certainly agree on!

Chris 30-03-2014 13:26

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Top banana (Post 35684573)
We certainly do Jimi! Funny that the GOVERNMENT say different to that paper. Wonder which one is telling the truth.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotlan...itics-26477209

The Nats had better hope its the government. Because if it's "the minister", the Pound comes with some nuclear warhead-shaped strings attached.

Alec will get lynched if the hardcore seps start to believe he'll do a deal to keep Trident on the Clyde.

Mr Angry 30-03-2014 13:42

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35684628)
The Nats had better hope its the government. Because if it's "the minister", the Pound comes with some nuclear warhead-shaped strings attached.

Alec will get lynched if the hardcore seps start to believe he'll do a deal to keep Trident on the Clyde.

He's denying (no surprise there) there's any deal to be done over the nukes.

Sirius 30-03-2014 13:47

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Maybe the 3 leaders of the main political party's in Westminster should sign a joint document legally stating that none of them will allow Scotland to share the pound IF there was a yes vote.

Chris 30-03-2014 14:04

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Angry (Post 35684634)
He's denying (no surprise there) there's any deal to be done over the nukes.

I'd expect nothing less. Still, it's instructive that the SNP are prepared to accept precisely half of what "the minister" said, namely the half that they like, while rejecting the half they don't like. If, as they claim, the minister revealed the UK Gov's true policy, then they had better start coming to terms with the full details of that policy.

If there is a Yes vote the negotiations are going to be horrible. The SNP still don't realise that the UK basically holds all the cards, as well as the sovereignty, and that ultimately independence will look the way the UK decides it will look, and not the way the SNP would like it to look.

Mr Angry 30-03-2014 14:25

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35684639)
If there is a Yes vote the negotiations are going to be horrible.

And then some.

Damien 31-03-2014 15:06

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
The Government should pass a law that states any sharing of Sterling will require a referendum. Salmond will have a job trying to explain how Sterling will be shared then.

Chris 31-03-2014 15:13

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
The yeSNP are panicking about that very subject. Sturgeon was on the radio first thing, insisting there shouldn't be a referendum because "nothing will change" for the remaining UK. She is either lying through her back teeth or else she really, truly doesn't understand what a currency union means.

Darling has now suggested that there should be a referendum in the rest of the UK and has suggested as an alternative that Unionist parties in Westminster might write 'no currency union' into their 2015 manifestos as a lesser means of attaining the same outcome.

Personally I think there is now likely to be some suggestion from Westminster that a referendum bill is being drafted. Thanks to Vince Cable that anonymous minister it is now the only way of burying the issue. Salmond and Sturgeon will have a very, very hard time convincing Scots voters that the polls across the UK, which are strongly anti-currency union, are just bluffing.

Derek 31-03-2014 15:37

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I've also noticed they've been ignoring the whole 'Keep Trident in exchange for keeping the Pound' part of the quote from the mysterious minister.

Osem 31-03-2014 17:07

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35684922)
The Government should pass a law that states any sharing of Sterling will require a referendum. Salmond will have a job trying to explain how Sterling will be shared then.

Can't do that it'd be bullying. :) Bullying is, after all, anything which doesn't suit Salmond's Tartan Twits.

Clearly they believe only the Scots deserve a say in this matter.

Damien 31-03-2014 17:18

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I would like to see Salmond's attempt to explain why a referendum on a Currency Union is unfair certainly.

Mr Pharmacist 31-03-2014 18:17

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
1 Attachment(s)
Latest TNS poll. http://www.scotsman.com/news/politic...-yes-1-3352264 All the no voters are just bullies! http://www.cableforum.co.uk/board/at...1&d=1396286175

Jimi 31-03-2014 22:41

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Thank you Darling.:)

http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v3...psnz5dseiw.jpg

Stephen 31-03-2014 22:51

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
So where is that non story from??

I am sure it was reported differently in a few other places.

Chris 31-03-2014 22:53

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Yes. I like how he has prompted that nice Downing Street spokesman to say "there will not be any referendum on a currency union, because no currency union will be on offer."

Of course, that's the bit Nats really don't like and will do anything to ignore.

Jimi 31-03-2014 23:04

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I think the background colour tells its own story Stephen.

Stephen 31-03-2014 23:13

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jimi (Post 35685110)
I think the background colour tells its own story Stephen.

I do know where its from, but its always good to name a source:rolleyes:

Chris 01-04-2014 08:21

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
The Telegraph seems to have the solution to Scotland's currency crisis:

https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2014/04/59.jpg

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/ukne...ound-coin.html

:D

Derek 01-04-2014 09:33

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
In preparation for a yes vote the SBC has released their first TV schedule for an independent Scotland.

https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2014/04/60.jpg

Jimi 01-04-2014 09:43

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Stephen (Post 35685114)
I do know where its from, but its always good to name a source:rolleyes:

The Dandy.....or was it The Beano?:D

---------- Post added at 09:43 ---------- Previous post was at 09:41 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35685171)
The Telegraph seems to have the solution to Scotland's currency crisis:

https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2014/04/59.jpg

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/ukne...ound-coin.html

:D

Quote:

Originally Posted by Derek (Post 35685188)
In preparation for a yes vote the SBC has released their first TV schedule for an independent Scotland.

https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2014/04/60.jpg

Aye,very good.:)

richard s 02-04-2014 19:22

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Freedom my Haggis.

Derek 03-04-2014 08:38

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Yet more bullying and scaremongering.

http://m.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-26864329

Quote:

A report for one of Scotland's biggest companies has concluded that independence would create "costs and uncertainties" for business, alongside "fewer, more uncertain benefits".
...
But such gains would come at a price, the report argues, in terms of higher borrowing costs, increased taxes and deep cuts in public spending.

Chris 03-04-2014 08:40

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
How dare they. Everybody knows that erecting an international frontier across the middle of this island and duplicating its entire bureaucracy is the best way of ensuring freedom and prosperity.

Osem 03-04-2014 08:57

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Seeing as how he was so proud of his huge banks and their role in the 'arc of prosperity' I think this one ought to be renamed:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-26865174

How about the Rubbish Bank of Salmond? :D

denphone 03-04-2014 15:59

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
BSkyB tells staff it will not intervene in Scottish independence debate.

http://www.theguardian.com/media/201...ependence-jobs

Chris 03-04-2014 17:04

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Eddie Izzard prepares to bully Alex Salmond:

http://www.edtheatres.com/eddieizzard

Mr Angry 03-04-2014 17:59

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Plenty of tickets still available.

Damien 03-04-2014 21:02

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I like Eddie Izzard. Why can't he come to London to do the show!? Honestly, all these Scotland-centric events that take place in Scotland, instead of London, are a joke.

Mr Pharmacist 03-04-2014 22:03

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Keith Morroni, a global transport consultant, explains the 'spiral interchange' method of crossing from a country which drives on the left to one that drives on the right. As part of post-independence planning, some nationalists have also begun a programme to replace all of Scotland's road signs http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/v...deo?CMP=twt_gu :D

Sirius 03-04-2014 22:23

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Pharmacist (Post 35685932)
Keith Morroni, a global transport consultant, explains the 'spiral interchange' method of crossing from a country which drives on the left to one that drives on the right. As part of post-independence planning, some nationalists have also begun a programme to replace all of Scotland's road signs http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/v...deo?CMP=twt_gu :D

To be honest based on some of the bull coming out of the yes brigade that could very well be deemed real :LOL:

Stuart 03-04-2014 22:25

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35684204)
This is so brain dead it's beyond parody.

A couple of other things to note:
  1. Putin seems to be doing a good job of effectively annexing the old Soviet states, so probably not a good idea to rely on them for evidence.
  2. A lot of the countries shown are part of Europe. How truly independant are they?

Mr Angry 03-04-2014 22:25

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35685915)
I like Eddie Izzard. Why can't he come to London to do the show!? Honestly, all these Scotland-centric events that take place in Scotland, instead of London, are a joke.

Did they not give London their fashion awards last year?

Chris 04-04-2014 09:37

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Stuart (Post 35685936)
A couple of other things to note:
  1. Putin seems to be doing a good job of effectively annexing the old Soviet states, so probably not a good idea to rely on them for evidence.
  2. A lot of the countries shown are part of Europe. How truly independant are they?

Especially the Benelux countries which have had a close union since well before the EU got to its current state.

But don't sweat over it too much - as I said, it's so brain dead it's really beyond parody, never mind anything approaching intelligent discussion.

Meanwhile, another day, another SNP fantasy blows up in Eck's face.

http://www.scotsman.com/news/politic...licy-1-3364890

Quote:

The Scottish Parliament Information Centre (SPICe) has said there are not enough Scottish mothers who want to go back to work to deliver the dramatic increase in revenue predicted in the Scottish Government’s white paper for independence.

Generating a childcare revolution that would increase tax revenues by getting more mothers back to work was the key announcement when the blueprint for independence was launched last year. Mr Salmond argued that independence was the only way of achieving his vision for a “transformative” expansion of childcare.

The SPICe paper said: “The increased output and tax revenues rely on up to 104,000 women moving from economic inactivity into economic activity. At present, there are only 64,000 mothers of one to five-year-olds who are economically inactive.”

Damien 04-04-2014 09:46

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Even the Scots are bullying Scotland now!

Chris 04-04-2014 09:53

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Pathetic isn't it. You would have thought that after 7 years in power the SNP wouldn't still be quite this pathetic at policy development, but mislaying 40,000 women in their calculations is poor, even by their low standards.

Osem 04-04-2014 10:03

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35685989)
Even the Scots are bullying Scotland now!

:)


Yeah but that's only because of the English... :D

Derek 04-04-2014 10:21

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35685989)
Even the Scots are bullying Scotland now!

Yep, it's a worrying trend. In the unlikely event of a yes vote in September the very next day these beauties will be getting put up at Gretna.

http://kdmcmillan.com/ultimate/wp-co...ully111811.jpg

They might be expensive but if the oil money doesn't pay for them I'm sure some other creative accounting will. :)

Hugh 06-04-2014 10:34

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Latest Panelbase poll shows 'Yes' vote increasing - Yes 47%, No 53%.

Times (behind Paywall)

On the pro-independence websites, it's quite amusing to see people say "well, the margin of error is 3%, so that means the voting could be 50/50". It also means it could be 44/56...... ;)

Strangely enough, only the results for the headline question have been released, and the rest will be released tomorrow - I don't know if it's connected, but this is the same polling company that gives consistently higher (than the other polling organisations) results for the yes vote, and whose questioning methodology was queried on its previous poll by having two very, how can I put it, 'leading*" questions before the main question.

Quote:

*Q1. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: "Scotland could be a successful, independent country?

Q2. Who do you trust to take the best decisions for Scotland: the Scottish Government or the Westminster Government?
Here's a fairly 'independent' (see what I did there?) view on the poll - whatscotlandthinks

Derek 06-04-2014 12:30

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35686381)
Strangely enough, only the results for the headline question have been released, and the rest will be released tomorrow - I don't know if it's connected, but this is the same polling company that gives consistently higher (than the other polling organisations) results for the yes vote, and whose questioning methodology was queried on its previous poll by having two very, how can I put it, 'leading*" questions before the main question.

From another forum I frequent.

Quote:

well i was just invited to a Panelbase survey on independence .

talk about propaganda .

when asking questions about yes/snp they mentioned wealth creation,fairer society etc

when talking about better togethers campaign they mentioned not keeping pandas at edinburgh zoo or not being able to watch dr who

it was a tick the box survey and not one where i would be able to express my views in writing
Maybe not the best polling company to rely on.

Chris 06-04-2014 13:11

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Panelbase has been pretty much discredited. They invite people to sign up and make themselves available for polling, and recently had to close their polls to new sign-ups because they had a sudden flood of them around the time the SNP started using them for its public polling on the referendum.

Unsurprisingly, with a disproportionate number of cybernats on its books, Panelbase's polls routinely show higher support for separation than any other polling organisation. And yes, their methodology is highly suspect, with a number of leading questions in the mix to help produce the 'right' result.

Panelbase is being used as a political tool by the Yes campaign to try to create the illusion of momentum and IMO they have become professionally compromised as a result.

Sirius 06-04-2014 17:55

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I so wish they would get this over and done with.

Mr Angry 06-04-2014 19:51

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
And now the Better Together camp are complaining of being bullied / shouted down.

"As a new poll showed a growth in support for independence, the head of the Better Together campaign accused nationalists of being "consistently negative" about supporters of the UK."

Chris 06-04-2014 21:24

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Before anyone else links to that poll, can we please get clear that it was:

1. Commissioned by Wings Over Scotland, a fairly extreme Separatist website;
2. It employed the same strategy of leading, loaded questions as previous Panelbase polls;
3. Panelbase's open recruitment of volunteer poll subjects was suspended recently because of a large number of nationalists signing up to it, thereby threatening to skew its results.

Panelbase has consistently shown a higher support for Yes than other polls and is, coincidentally, the Nats' polling organ of choice.

Mr Angry 06-04-2014 23:50

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Apologies for not stripping out the poll link Chris - and thanks for not shooting the messenger.

I wasn't trying to plug the poll or its provenance (or otherwise) but it's worthy of note that similar accusations of bias have been levelled by the pro independence side also.

I was merely highlighting the fact that the Better Together campaign, poll results aside, appear a bit rattled and are complaining of being shouted down.

Clearly nerves are frayed on both sides.

Jimi 07-04-2014 18:32

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Frayed,listen tae this utter nutter then read the comments.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=af86H...e_gdata_player

Stephen 07-04-2014 19:09

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Ok I watched and read the comments, however what's your point?

Sirius 07-04-2014 20:35

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Stephen (Post 35686814)
Ok I watched and read the comments, however what's your point?

He never has a point :LOL:

Hugh 07-04-2014 20:50

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Play nicely, boys and girls......

Jimi 07-04-2014 23:23

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Stephen (Post 35686814)
Ok I watched and read the comments, however what's your point?

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sirius (Post 35686865)
He never has a point :LOL:

You pair are like a fish out of water.

http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v3...psruplxfzb.jpg

Stephen 07-04-2014 23:39

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
What??

Even that response makes no sense at all. Just like most of Salmond responses! When you can't find a proper answer its best to say nothing at all.

Stephen 08-04-2014 12:42

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotlan...itics-26933998

More apparent bullying, this time from the former head of NATO.
Quote:

The former secretary general of Nato has said that Scottish independence would be cataclysmic for the West in an era of international turmoil.
Speaking in the US, Lord Robertson said a "debilitating divorce" after a "Yes" vote in September would threaten the stability of the wider world.
He said he believed the American administration was worried about the possibility of Scottish independence.


The Scottish government said the comments were "crass and offensive".
Scotland's Deputy First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said she was "shocked" by the language of the former Labour defence secretary.
Sturgeon being a muppet again.

Damien 08-04-2014 12:49

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
TBH The Nato guy does seem to be overdoing it...

Chris 08-04-2014 13:59

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
So the secretary general of NATO is "crass and offensive" and the Presidents of the European Commission and the European Council are "preposterous". And the SNP have serious ambitions to run an actual government, handling actual diplomatic relations?

Intemperate comments like these (and not forgetting the Lockerbie Bomber fiasco), show that when it comes to anything outside of the (thankfully) limited sphere of their devolved executive powers, the Nats are rank amateurs. It is frightening to think there are people in Scotland actively pushing to bring this about.

Jimi 08-04-2014 17:17

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Obviously,many on here do not have a Scooby as tae whom George Robertson is,I've known him since he started his political career in Hamilton,he's a ****,end of.....

Chris 08-04-2014 17:29

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Who he is personally is entirely besides the point, which is exactly the problem the Nats are having whenever they encounter proper grown up governmental affairs. They don't seem to realise that you have to deal with the office, whoever occupies it and whatever their views and opinions are. As a bunch of jumped-up county councillors with no career path to actual government, the SNP is not best placed to understand this.

Jimi 08-04-2014 19:07

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
The SNP don't have any problems.

Chris 08-04-2014 19:26

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jimi (Post 35687106)
The SNP don't have any problems.

:rofl:

Bless.

Derek 08-04-2014 19:33

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jimi (Post 35687106)
The SNP don't have any problems.

Well aside from their white paper being ripped apart, an economic strategy based on fantasy, a European policy based on lies and fantasy etc etc then yes everything is fine and rosy in natland.

Osem 08-04-2014 19:33

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I needed a laugh too... God only knows what sort of mess Salmond's cronies will make of running Scotland. Has anyone up there considered what'll happen if/when it all goes horribly pear shaped with no nasty English folks to blame for all their ills? Maybe there'll need to be referendum to see what the rest of the UK thinks of letting them back in. Now that'd be interesting... :D

RizzyKing 08-04-2014 20:03

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
If they vote to leave and it all goes wrong tough luck on coming back to the UK and why should we as soon as everything gets sorted no doubt at high cost to the UK they will kick off again. No you want out and vote for it your stuck with it come what may.

Sirius 08-04-2014 20:20

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RizzyKing (Post 35687135)
If they vote to leave and it all goes wrong tough luck on coming back to the UK and why should we as soon as everything gets sorted no doubt at high cost to the UK they will kick off again. No you want out and vote for it your stuck with it come what may.

We will have to have a referendum if that happen. Letting them back in 1% telling them to go forth 99% :LOL:

Pierre 08-04-2014 22:09

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Just come back from a few days in Glasgow, And just like my few days in Edinburgh in Feb, all taxi drivers say........no.

( this is not a scientific poll)

Derek 08-04-2014 22:16

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35687199)
Just come back from a few days in Glasgow, And just like my few days in Edinburgh in Feb, all taxi drivers say........no.

( this is not a scientific poll)

Still way more accurate than anything panelbase have come up with.

Chris 08-04-2014 22:35

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Because when you hail a taxi, you choose your taxi driver at random. When you commission a Panelbase poll, you get the services of their massive cohort of nationalist volunteers.

Damien 08-04-2014 22:46

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Do we have the breakdown of the poll itself? I.E How they weighted responses and so on?

Chris 08-04-2014 22:49

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
What we have is the one polling organ favoured by Nats consistently showing a higher %age for Yes than any other poll, and a tacit admission that its sample has been skewed by its decision to close to new members a few weeks ago - I will find a link for that news story in the morning.

Damien 08-04-2014 23:11

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35687217)
What we have is the one polling organ favoured by Nats consistently showing a higher %age for Yes than any other poll, and a tacit admission that its sample has been skewed by its decision to close to new members a few weeks ago - I will find a link for that news story in the morning.

Yes but the breakdown would still be interesting. Especially if they've asked what party they would vote for if an election for the Scottish Government was happening. If they've asked this then we can see if they weighted the poll or just polled the members and put the results out. If there is an unusually higher number of SNP voters then that would cast doubt upon the headline figure. Also if the cybernats have been clever and not been honest about their choice of party to avoiding the weighting then we might see a odd anomaly were a surge of undiscovered Conservatives in Scotland have been found and turns out they support Yes!

It's hard to lie convincingly across the board. We should anomalies in the underling data is my point....We know it's an outlier and we suspect it's because they over-represent the SNP vote but more evidence helps.

Mr Angry 10-04-2014 20:12

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Drip, drip, drip.

Scotland likely to choose independence, foreign diplomats believe

"Sources in diplomatic corps in Edinburgh say tide of opinion has shifted, while opinion polls show increase in support for yes vote".

Damien 10-04-2014 20:24

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Recent opinion Polls haven't shown an increase in support for the Yes vote:

http://blog.whatscotlandthinks.org/2...gress-stalled/

I am also not really sure what's going on with The Guardian's recent set of stories where some unnamed source adds something to the debate. The last story didn't take off precisely because the minister who said the Currency Union happened didn't show their face so we had no way of knowing if they were credible or not. Also the 'diplomatic corps' don't have a say nor are they psephologists.....

Chris 10-04-2014 20:41

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I think the Yes inclination has probably got as high as it's going to. The Daily Record/Survation poll quoted by the Graun shows a slight drop for Yes, the only polling organisation that shows steady or rising support for Yes is coincidentally the same one used by Yes Scotland, the SNP and Wings Over Scotland. Anyone who can spot what those three have in common, answers on a postcard please.

Meanwhile the Better Together camp is sticking to its plan, no matters how much the
Nats want everyone to believe they're panicking. They have got all the bad news out early, on the basis that when a family stops fighting, the facts they were fighting over are still facts. Come referendum day the arguments over the currency and the EU will have given way to cold, hard uncertainty over the consequences of a Yes vote for the currency everyone grew up with and nobody wants to lose. And, they haven't actually embarked on their own national campaign yet. So far, the UK Gov has done its bit, the EU has done its bit, but BT is yet to launch its full-on charm offensive. That gets underway after the European elections, much closer to the actual referendum, when it will matter.

Let's not forget, there has never been a settled majority in favour of separatism in Scotland, the SNP did not win an outright majority at the Holyrood elections in 2011, and the deliberate feeding of unremittingly negative messages into the campaign by the No camp has not resulted in the sort of mass movement against the UK that the seps predicted and are still desperately hoping for.

Once Better Together really gets started, and shows the seps off for the narrow minded, insular, reckless lot they are, the seps will be sunk.

Osem 10-04-2014 20:46

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35687710)
I think the Yes inclination has probably got as high as it's going to. The Daily Record/Survation poll quoted by the Graun shows a slight drop for Yes, the only polling organisation that shows steady or rising support for Yes is coincidentally the same one used by Yes Scotland, the SNP and Wings Over Scotland. Anyone who can spot what those three have in common, answers on a postcard please.

Meanwhile the Better Together camp is sticking to its plan, no matters how much the
Nats want everyone to believe they're panicking. They have got all the bad news out early, on the basis that when a family stops fighting, the facts they were fighting over are still facts. Come referendum day the arguments over the currency and the EU will have given way to cold, hard uncertainty over the consequences of a Yes vote for the currency everyone grew up with and nobody wants to lose. And, they haven't actually embarked on their own national campaign yet. So far, the UK Gov has done its bit, the EU has done its bit, but BT is yet to launch its full-on charm offensive. That gets underway after the European elections, much closer to the actual referendum, when it will matter.

Let's not forget, there has never been a settled majority in favour of separatism in Scotland, the SNP did not win an outright majority at the Holyrood elections in 2011, and the deliberate feeding of unremittingly negative messages into the campaign by the No camp has not resulted in the sort of mass movement against the UK that the seps predicted and are still desperately hoping for.

Once Better Together really gets started, and shows the seps off for the narrow minded, insular, reckless lot they are, they will be sunk.

---------- Post added at 20:41 ---------- Previous post was at 20:41 ----------

I think the Yes inclination has probably got as high as it's going to. The Daily Record/Survation poll quoted by the Graun shows a slight drop for Yes, the only polling organisation that shows steady or rising support for Yes is coincidentally the same one used by Yes Scotland, the SNP and Wings Over Scotland. Anyone who can spot what those three have in common, answers on a postcard please.

Meanwhile the Better Together camp is sticking to its plan, no matters how much the
Nats want everyone to believe they're panicking. They have got all the bad news out early, on the basis that when a family stops fighting, the facts they were fighting over are still facts. Come referendum day the arguments over the currency and the EU will have given way to cold, hard uncertainty over the consequences of a Yes vote for the currency everyone grew up with and nobody wants to lose. And, they haven't actually embarked on their own national campaign yet. So far, the UK Gov has done its bit, the EU has done its bit, but BT is yet to launch its full-on charm offensive. That gets underway after the European elections, much closer to the actual referendum, when it will matter.

Let's not forget, there has never been a settled majority in favour of separatism in Scotland, the SNP did not win an outright majority at the Holyrood elections in 2011, and the deliberate feeding of unremittingly negative messages into the campaign by the No camp has not resulted in the sort of mass movement against the UK that the seps predicted and are still desperately hoping for.

Once Better Together really gets started, and shows the seps off for the narrow minded, insular, reckless lot they are, they will be sunk.

Posting that twice really is bullying Salmond's Tartan Twits. You know that don't you... :D

TheDaddy 10-04-2014 20:48

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35687710)
I think the Yes inclination has probably got as high as it's going to. The Daily Record/Survation poll quoted by the Graun shows a slight drop for Yes, the only polling organisation that shows steady or rising support for Yes is coincidentally the same one used by Yes Scotland, the SNP and Wings Over Scotland. Anyone who can spot what those three have in common, answers on a postcard please.

Meanwhile the Better Together camp is sticking to its plan, no matters how much the
Nats want everyone to believe they're panicking. They have got all the bad news out early, on the basis that when a family stops fighting, the facts they were fighting over are still facts. Come referendum day the arguments over the currency and the EU will have given way to cold, hard uncertainty over the consequences of a Yes vote for the currency everyone grew up with and nobody wants to lose. And, they haven't actually embarked on their own national campaign yet. So far, the UK Gov has done its bit, the EU has done its bit, but BT is yet to launch its full-on charm offensive. That gets underway after the European elections, much closer to the actual referendum, when it will matter.

Let's not forget, there has never been a settled majority in favour of separatism in Scotland, the SNP did not win an outright majority at the Holyrood elections in 2011, and the deliberate feeding of unremittingly negative messages into the campaign by the No camp has not resulted in the sort of mass movement against the UK that the seps predicted and are still desperately hoping for.

Once Better Together really gets started, and shows the seps off for the narrow minded, insular, reckless lot they are, the seps will be sunk.

When are they going to get started?

Mr Angry 10-04-2014 20:57

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35687707)
Recent opinion Polls haven't shown an increase in support for the Yes vote:

http://blog.whatscotlandthinks.org/2...gress-stalled/

I am also not really sure what's going on with The Guardian's recent set of stories where some unnamed source adds something to the debate. The last story didn't take off precisely because the minister who said the Currency Union happened didn't show their face so we had no way of knowing if they were credible or not. Also the 'diplomatic corps' don't have a say nor are they psephologists.....

Damien, I'm merely linking to reports covering poll results. Anyone can argue with the results but we cannot, reasonably, deny them. Prof Curtice himself merely proffers his opinion on the poll results he does not deny an increase.

I too am somewhat perplexed by the nature of recent stories which have appeared in the Guardian (hence "Drip, drip, drip").

That said, you don't have to be a psephologist just to have an opinion.

Hugh 10-04-2014 21:00

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Angry (Post 35687718)
Damien, I'm merely linking to reports covering poll results. Anyone can argue with the results but we cannot, reasonably, deny them. Prof Curtice himself merely proffers his opinion on the poll results he does not deny an increase.

I too am somewhat perplexed by the nature of recent stories which have appeared in the Guardian (hence "Drip, drip, drip).

That said, you don't have to be a psephologist just to have an opinion.

Opinions/Anecdotal evidence are not the plural of facts.... ;)

Mr Angry 10-04-2014 21:02

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35687719)
Opinions/Anecdotal evidence are not the plural of facts.... ;)

Quite. No one has suggested they are. ;)

Damien 10-04-2014 21:11

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Angry (Post 35687718)
Damien, I'm merely linking to reports covering poll results. Anyone can argue with the results but we cannot, reasonably, deny them. Prof Curtice himself merely proffers his opinion on the poll results he does not deny an increase.

I too am somewhat perplexed by the nature of recent stories which have appeared in the Guardian (hence "Drip, drip, drip").

That said, you don't have to be a psephologist just to have an opinion.

You don't but the results do not show an increase in Yes. It appears to have stabilised. However I would suggest that an opinion that Yes is gaining is simply incorrect as the polls have not moved in their direction. I am not arguing with the results. The numbers are there. Yes has not gained in the last few polls.

Chad 10-04-2014 21:17

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Alex Salmond gets bullied by The Telegraph:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/ukne...s-expense.html

"The First Minister has dismissed as “ridiculous frippery” demands he account for the cost of his September 2012 stay at the five-star Peninsula Hotel, even arguing that disclosing the information would jeopardise his safety."

"Paul Martin, the Scottish Labour party’s business manager, said: "Perhaps this is how Alex Salmond thinks the president of an independent Scotland should behave but most Scots will be embarrassed and angry by his disregard for their money.”

Hom3r 10-04-2014 21:21

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
My grandad was born in Glasgow, and he would be spinning in his grave over what that twonk Salmond want to do to Scotland.

He proudly fought for Great Britain.

Chris 10-04-2014 21:31

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
After the European elections, so second half of May.

---------- Post added at 21:31 ---------- Previous post was at 21:30 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35687714)
When are they going to get started?


Mr Angry 10-04-2014 23:43

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35687721)
You don't but the results do not show an increase in Yes. It appears to have stabilised. However I would suggest that an opinion that Yes is gaining is simply incorrect as the polls have not moved in their direction. I am not arguing with the results. The numbers are there. Yes has not gained in the last few polls.

I'm confused (clearly). Curtice, who you yourself cited, states in his commentary of April 6th inst "The poll puts the Yes vote on 41%, No on 46%. Both votes are up one point on Panelbase’s previous poll...".

Being "up one point" on a previous poll surely indicates an increase? Whether or not that one point reflects as a lead increase is largely irrelevant.

Derek 11-04-2014 06:32

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

One senior diplomat, who asked not to be named,
How come all the people with positive things to say about the yes campaign want to keep their identity secret?

Mr Angry 11-04-2014 07:04

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Derek (Post 35687786)
How come all the people with positive things to say about the yes campaign want to keep their identity secret?

Afraid of being bullied?

Hugh 11-04-2014 15:00

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Latest Panelbase survey results...

Yes - 40%
No - 45%
Undecided - 15%

Both Yes and No down 1%, gap remains the same.

Jimi 11-04-2014 16:23

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
It's coming home.

Hugh 11-04-2014 16:29

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
What - the yes vote going down is a sign of success?

Okaaaaay, then....

Chris 11-04-2014 16:46

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I think he's getting excited about the 5-point gap between Yes and No.

However, I say again, Panelbase's panel base was compromised late last year by a cybernat mass sign-up campaign. They are the only polling organisation used by nationalists and they are the only polling organisation that shows Yes support at this level.

A far more reliable poll would be the Survation/Daily Record poll also issued this week which puts Yes on 37, 10 points behind No on 47. That poll also shows a statistically significant 4-point drop in support for Yes amongst women, possibly as a result of the SNP's child care policy blowing up in Eck's face when someone pointed out there aren't enough working women in Scotland to pay for it.

Osem 11-04-2014 18:10

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35687894)
I think he's getting excited about the 5-point gap between Yes and No.

However, I say again, Panelbase's panel base was compromised late last year by a cybernat mass sign-up campaign. They are the only polling organisation used by nationalists and they are the only polling organisation that shows Yes support at this level.

A far more reliable poll would be the Survation/Daily Record poll also issued this week which puts Yes on 37, 10 points behind No on 47. That poll also shows a statistically significant 4-point drop in support for Yes amongst women, possibly as a result of the SNP's child care policy blowing up in Eck's face when someone pointed out there aren't enough working women in Scotland to pay for it.

You're not implying they're making it up on the hoof are you? :D

Jimi 11-04-2014 18:11

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Forget the polls,you guys know the score,no matter how much you run down the SNP,they will win the day,the BT guys are in a sweat,they know they are being pilloried day in,day out,come polling day we will totally wipe the floor with BT.

Mr Pharmacist 11-04-2014 18:21

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
4 Attachment(s)
http://www.cableforum.co.uk/board/at...1&d=1397236813 http://www.cableforum.co.uk/board/at...1&d=1397236813 [IMG]http://www.cableforum.co.uk/board/at...1&d=1397236813[/IMG]

Jimi 11-04-2014 18:50

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
AS does not dislike the English,a total fallacy.

Stephen 11-04-2014 18:56

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jimi (Post 35687911)
Forget the polls,you guys know the score,no matter how much you run down the SNP,they will win the day,the BT guys are in a sweat,they know they are being pilloried day in,day out,come polling day we will totally wipe the floor with BT.

So when its a panelbase poll, you are all happy and then when its an actual 'real' poll then polls don't count:rolleyes: Typical Yes voter and SNP follower.

BT is not in a sweat at all. Its the SNP as they keep getting their 'plans' slated and can't actually come up with real responses just they its a smokescreen and bullying.

Forget the made up stats its clear that the No vote will be the final outcome.

Face it Eck and his cronies don't actually have a plan B.

---------- Post added at 18:56 ---------- Previous post was at 18:55 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jimi (Post 35687925)
AS does not dislike the English,a total fallacy.

Well its clear that he does. That is his main reason for leaving the UK, nothing else at all.


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