Cable Forum - Coronavirus

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---------- Post added at 19:49 ---------- Previous post was at 19:27 ----------

They get their figures from both ONS and https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk to show any data input errors.

spiderplant

11-02-2022 22:16

Re: Coronavirus

Quote:

Originally Posted by Taf (Post 36113191)

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/

Sorry if I'm being dense, but I can't see it there, nor on the ONS site. I also searched for your first chart on TinEye, and got no matches.

Pierre

11-02-2022 22:40

Re: Coronavirus

Nobody cares anymore, move along….

spiderplant

11-02-2022 22:43

Re: Coronavirus

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36113210)

Nobody cares anymore, move along….

I do, and it seems Taf does. If you don't, move along...

OLD BOY

11-02-2022 23:43

Re: Coronavirus

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36113188)

Can you imagine how high the figures would be if everybody submitted details of when they have a winter cold?

Nail. on. head.

Hugh	12-02-2022 09:53

Re: Coronavirus

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36113214)

Nail. on. head.

That. Would. Explain. A. Lot. Of. Your. Posts…

Taf	12-02-2022 10:19

Re: Coronavirus

Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36113209)

Sorry if I'm being dense, but I can't see it there, nor on the ONS site. I also searched for your first chart on TinEye, and got no matches.

I produce the chart using Open Office, and the figures posted daily on both sites.

spiderplant

12-02-2022 10:45

Re: Coronavirus

1 Attachment(s)

Quote:

Originally Posted by Taf (Post 36113218)

I produce the chart using Open Office, and the figures posted daily on both sites.

Oh I see.

I think it's probably correct. It's just that the figures are only weekly so they do look very steppy. And the last week is always artificially low because some deaths are reported late.

Compare with this one I've done from the daily data. There really was a sudden rise, then flat, then a drop. I think the steep rise was the period where we had parallel pandemics of Delta and Omicron. Once Omicron became dominant, things stabilised.

Taf	12-02-2022 12:49

Re: Coronavirus

Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36113220)

Oh I see.

I think it's probably correct.

Since the beginning of the records, there has been a constant 7-day cycle of results being published by ONS. Different areas have submitted figures at different times, some even lumped together a week's worth of data. Hence the use of a 7-day rolling average became the norm.

Then the infection figures from LFTs that were found to be false positives by PCR tests were deleted, but not historically, but from that day's figures. So, over 3 days the results could be 4,4,4, but a test from day#1 found to be a false positive on day #3 would mean the records would show 4,4,3.

I'm a bit wary about the dropping of many of the measures against infection, as the sudden rise and fall of cases due to omicron, is POSSIBLY sat upon a steady number of new delta cases.

Only time will tell.

nffc	12-02-2022 13:15

Re: Coronavirus

Quote:

Originally Posted by Taf (Post 36113224)

The surveillance reports from UKHSA suggest not, I think it was said yesterday that Omicron had basically wiped out Delta.

pip08456

12-02-2022 15:58

Re: Coronavirus

It's been said since early January.

"Omicron wipes Delta off map in many parts of England as health chiefs warn half of Europe will get infected"

https://www.nationalworld.com/news/u...fected-3524278

Paul	12-02-2022 17:04

Re: Coronavirus

Given its milder, thats a good thing, right ?

nffc	12-02-2022 17:07

Re: Coronavirus

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36113234)

Given its milder, thats a good thing, right ?

Yes, probably why they're going to end the covid act early.

Taf	12-02-2022 17:12

Re: Coronavirus

2 Attachment(s)

Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36113220)

Oh I see.

I think it's probably correct. It's just that the figures are only weekly so they do look very steppy.

I entered the "adjusted" ONS daily figures, and found that the "adjustments" are a relatively new thing, weeks, not months.

There were still 4 dates when figures weren't released though (2 for xmas, and 2 fairly recently).

All times are GMT +1. The time now is 18:58.

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