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ianch99 03-10-2018 11:52

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
As seen on Twitter, this seems to paraphrase the new migration policy, right?

Quote:

Govt: After Brexit we won’t let unskilled migrants in. Only those we need for skilled jobs.

Leavers: Yes! At last!

Govt: So the skilled migrants can do the higher paid jobs and British people can now do the low paid, low-skilled stuff.

Leavers: Huzzah! Wait, what?

Damien 03-10-2018 12:04

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Linking migration to salary is a stupid idea. It is biased towards London where salaries would be higher so a programmer in London could be deemed essentially whereas a programmer in Leeds would not. It would mean nurses aren't deemed vital for migration.

OLD BOY 03-10-2018 16:49

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35965258)
As seen on Twitter, this seems to paraphrase the new migration policy, right?

The idea is that if companies cannot get the highly skilled people they need in order to function and be competitive, the new policy won't prevent them from recruiting from overseas.

Given the strength of feeling displayed that immigrants were keeping wages low and stealing working class jobs, this policy, together with new training programmes for the indigenous population, is exactly the right thing to do. Our people will be properly trained and the lack of immigrant labour should increase wages.

As long as the good old British have sufficient motivation to get off their backsides and work for their money, and I'm sure they will :erm:the policy should work.

---------- Post added at 16:47 ---------- Previous post was at 16:45 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35965260)
Linking migration to salary is a stupid idea. It is biased towards London where salaries would be higher so a programmer in London could be deemed essentially whereas a programmer in Leeds would not. It would mean nurses aren't deemed vital for migration.

The reason wages and salaries are more expensive in London is the shortage of local labour.

---------- Post added at 16:49 ---------- Previous post was at 16:47 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35965253)
How about an immigration system where you can come here if you have a job. If you do not have a job, you must be wholly self supporting including comprehensive health insurance?

How will this address the issue that was so often raised at the referendum that immigrants were stealing lower paid jobs and pushing wage levels down?

denphone 03-10-2018 16:54

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35965279)
The reason wages and salaries are more expensive in London is the shortage of local labour.

The reason wages and salaries are higher in London is houses are dearer , rents are higher and the general cost of living is higher.

jonbxx 03-10-2018 17:02

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35965279)
How will this address the issue that was so often raised at the referendum that immigrants were stealing lower paid jobs and pushing wage levels down?

The problem is that the evidence seems to suggest that the drive down of wages is very small and less than a couple of percent for the lowest skilled jobs only. The effect on high skilled workers is to push wages up. As is often the case, it's feelings over evidence that wins.

Of course, you have to ask why immigration levels have been so high where we do control immigration? Also, why have we not made any effort to control immigration of EU migrants using the rules available to us? Is it lack of will, lack of money or do successive governments approve of the levels secretly?

If it's will, we have to question the competence of successive governments. If it's lack of money, the post Brexit arrangements will cost more so that doesn't solve anything. If our governments over the years internally want immigration, we strongly have to ask what benefit this is to the UK and what might we lose without free movement.

ianch99 03-10-2018 23:25

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Watch this. This chap knows a lot about trade in Europe and beyond. His analysis is on the future of Agrifoods is chilling:

Quote:

Jason Hunter talks Brexit, including what leaving on WTO rules would mean

Sephiroth 04-10-2018 07:03

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
"Peace is the founding principle of the EU" - Jason Hunter in his Project Fear speech.

"In truth, Brussels is a democracy-free zone" - Janis Varoufakis https://www.theguardian.com/politics...at-theresa-may

"EU doesn't do democracy" - Seph

The core of the economic argument is that the UK is so deeply integrated with the EU at the practical level that leaving on WTO terms will severely knock us back.

The core of the democratic argument is that the UK should be sovereign and free from the EU's shackles (to the extent they exist - which is where there is debate).

The piggy in the middle is the Irish border and the EU are playing that n order to undemocratically shackle us to the Customs Union and split the UK into two.

In these circumstances, sovereignty trumps economics and we should take the hit if it comes and build from there.

jonbxx 04-10-2018 10:40

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
I see the EASA (European Air Safety Agency) has started preparations for a no deal Brexit by inviting UK operators to start the application process for approval as a third country - https://www.easa.europa.eu/brexit

There's an interesting study from the Royal Aeronautical Society on the options for aviation post Brexit - https://www.aerosociety.com/media/67...ter_brexit.pdf

ianch99 04-10-2018 12:34

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35965314)
"Peace is the founding principle of the EU" - Jason Hunter in his Project Fear speech.

"In truth, Brussels is a democracy-free zone" - Janis Varoufakis https://www.theguardian.com/politics...at-theresa-may

"EU doesn't do democracy" - Seph

The core of the economic argument is that the UK is so deeply integrated with the EU at the practical level that leaving on WTO terms will severely knock us back.

The core of the democratic argument is that the UK should be sovereign and free from the EU's shackles (to the extent they exist - which is where there is debate).

The piggy in the middle is the Irish border and the EU are playing that n order to undemocratically shackle us to the Customs Union and split the UK into two.

In these circumstances, sovereignty trumps economics and we should take the hit if it comes and build from there

As the late great Christopher Hitchens once said:

Quote:

There you have it ladies and gentleman — there you have it, you see how far the termites have spread and how long and well they’ve dined
The option never presented to the people of the UK: the Leave option that makes you poorer in all sorts of ways. The final play of the Great Democracy Swindle.

Oh, and let's drop the child-like "Project Fear" rubbish shall we? If he is wrong, say why he is wrong and articulate the reasons that No Deal is not as damaging as he fears.

The constant use of this banal retort is just lazy ..

Sephiroth 04-10-2018 18:44

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35965341)
As the late great Christopher Hitchens once said:



The option never presented to the people of the UK: the Leave option that makes you poorer in all sorts of ways. The final play of the Great Democracy Swindle.

Oh, and let's drop the child-like "Project Fear" rubbish shall we? If he is wrong, say why he is wrong and articulate the reasons that No Deal is not as damaging as he fears.

The constant use of this banal retort is just lazy ..

You have read more into my brief Project Fear remark than was appropriate. I didn't say he was wrong - although I could pick holes in part. if I wanted to bore you all

My point was that sovereignty trumps economics when you consider the democracy aspect.

With regard to Project Fear, stop insulting me with accusations of banality. I'm very precise and deliberate. The entire tenet of the guvmin's circular to each home can very reasonably described as Project Fear - it was intended to instil fear in its readers so that a Remain vote would result.

Hugh 04-10-2018 18:49

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
"Sovereignty trumps economics" - easy to say if you’re comfortably off. Not so easy if you are one of those negatively affected.

denphone 04-10-2018 18:52

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35965386)
"Sovereignty trumps economics" - easy to say if you’re comfortably off. Not so easy if you are one of those negatively affected.

And quite a lot will be negatively affected..

Sephiroth 04-10-2018 19:19

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35965386)
"Sovereignty trumps economics" - easy to say if you’re comfortably off. Not so easy if you are one of those negatively affected.

So, you're saying that we must be shackled to an undemocratic entity just so that the less "comfortably off" are not negatively affected. Why is that good? The dictatorship wins.

1andrew1 04-10-2018 20:03

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35965390)
So, you're saying that we must be shackled to an undemocratic entity just so that the less "comfortably off" are not negatively affected. Why is that good? The dictatorship wins.

There is no dictatorship. Otherwise, surely we would have the Euro and not the Pound. ;)

Thoughtful piece today about Europe.
Quote:

The great difference is that, in their bones, the English mostly lack fear. Most continentals do not. On the European mainland, only Portugal, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland survived the second world war unconquered. What was the sovereignty of the Netherlands worth in 1940? Four days. As an Irish minister told me after the Brexit referendum, first of all the EU is a peace project. But it is not built on fear alone. It is also built on hope — of a prosperous, integrated Europe able to speak up in the world.

It is legitimate to reject this project. Brexiters do. It is legitimate to believe the EU has over-reached. On monetary union, I agree. It is legitimate to believe the EU has under-reached. On defence, I also agree. But it is illegitimate for a sane person to despise the EU’s goals or hope that it will collapse into chaos.
https://www.ft.com/content/0c870040-...f-ee390057b8c9

Sephiroth 04-10-2018 20:17

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35965392)
There is no dictatorship. Otherwise, surely we would have the Euro and not the Pound. ;)

Thoughtful piece today about Europe.

https://www.ft.com/content/0c870040-...f-ee390057b8c9

Then read Yanis Varoufakis. A first hand report.


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