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Chris 20-03-2019 16:38

Re: Brexit (New).
 
I agree. This isn’t a bluff - we have reached the end of the road. There will be no more talking. We either take the deal on offer or walk away.

Carth 20-03-2019 16:39

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35987788)
If the Commons rejects MV3, or Bercow refuses to allow it to be debated, then we leave with No Deal in 9 days.

Bring it on.

:tu:

Indeed . . and if we had decided on a 'no deal' exit a year or so ago we would be in a better position, and much of this tomfoolery and ridiculous political posturing wouldn't have happened.

Chris 20-03-2019 16:43

Re: Brexit (New).
 
I’m really looking forward to hearing Labour, the SNP, the TIGgers and the Lib Dems squeal. For all their complaints about May’s indecision, their entire strategy has rested on preventing any decisions being taken until a referendum could be secured. Now they have to be seen to back May, or back No Deal, or be spineless abstainers - which will feature heavily on every electoral poster in the north of England come the next election.

Damien 20-03-2019 16:51

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35987796)
I’m really looking forward to hearing Labour, the SNP, the TIGgers and the Lib Dems squeal. For all their complaints about May’s indecision, their entire strategy has rested on preventing any decisions being taken until a referendum could be secured. Now they have to be seen to back May, or back No Deal, or be spineless abstainers - which will feature heavily on every electoral poster in the north of England come the next election.

Labour clearly have not backed a referendum and I doubt the Liberal Democrats, TIG or the SNP will suffer amongst their own electorates for pushing for one.

As for the electoral consequences well that's now very much going to depend on what happens next. If No Deal is more painful than is being assumed I think a lot of voters will suddenly 'forget' they supported it and blame the current Government, not the opposition.

Personally I think the ERG are handing the keys to No 10 over to Corbyn at a time of big economic disruption.

Chris 20-03-2019 16:53

Re: Brexit (New).
 
I think Corbyn is the only reason Labour has been unable to say aloud that it wanted another referendum, but I have little doubt that is the direction they have been edging.

I also think the ERG calculates that an act of God Himself couldn’t install Corbyn in No.10 ...

Damien 20-03-2019 17:09

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35987798)
I think Corbyn is the only reason Labour has been unable to say aloud that it wanted another referendum, but I have little doubt that is the direction they have been edging.

Yup but in the end Corbyn's stalling has paid off. His whole plan has clearly been to resist being caught having a position on this until the very end and forever holding up a mythical, non-existent, perfect deal instead. It's probably worked at least well enough for him to avoid being too badly burned by whatever happens next.

---------- Post added at 17:09 ---------- Previous post was at 17:00 ----------

The Spectator pointing out it might not be game over if May's deal fails: https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2019/0...ong-extension/

Hardly ideal if they want Remainers to back May's deal.

Hugh 20-03-2019 17:23

Re: Brexit (New).
 
h/t @HugoRifkind
Quote:

Inasmuch as I understand what is going on, the EU will only let us have an extension if MP can show we don't actually need an extension, and they are to show this by voting a the opposite way from before in a new vote that the Speaker has already said they're not allowed to have.


---------- Post added at 17:23 ---------- Previous post was at 17:13 ----------

Quote:

Laura Kuenssberg
@bbclaurak

No 10 says Pm is not going to the 1922 tonight - this will tick off quite a lot of backbenchers who want to hear what her real plan is - may be a move she regrets

16:56 - 20 Mar 2019
I think she is at the stage of not giving a toss what her MPs want - resigning soon, do we think?

Mr K 20-03-2019 18:33

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35987762)
this man will do any thing to help remain.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35987794)
I agree. This isn’t a bluff - we have reached the end of the road. There will be no more talking. We either take the deal on offer or walk away.

It is a bluff, and not a very good at me ! If MV3 lost then a long delay, he's only said it would rule out a short delay. No one apart from the usual fringe suspects want No Deal. The EU maybe saying hard things atm, as they rightly sense we're weak and on the ropes. Standard practice when opening negotiations !

Jimmy-J 20-03-2019 19:13

Re: Brexit (New).
 
A statement by the PM outside No.10 at 8:15 tonight.

heero_yuy 20-03-2019 19:16

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Which will be another attempt to kick the can down the road again.

FGS LEAVE!!

Jimmy-J 20-03-2019 19:25

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Rumour has it Corbyn walks out of meeting with PM because independent party were there.

denphone 20-03-2019 19:36

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jimmy-J (Post 35987816)
Rumour has it Corbyn walks out of meeting with PM because independent party were there.

Several sources say that now.

Pierre 20-03-2019 19:48

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 35987704)
Old Boy you are following the flawed narrative that no deal is inevitable without this deal. That is simply not the case.
.

That might have been the interpretation at 10:45 this morning, no so much now. Things move fast around here.

---------- Post added at 19:48 ---------- Previous post was at 19:37 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jimmy-J (Post 35987814)
A statement by the PM outside No.10 at 8:15 tonight.

Yes, i predict she will say to the nation, it’s the deal or no deal, I Also think the EU will will also take that position.

Taking way the safety net from parliament that voted to reject no deal, which was never in their power anyway.

It’s the end game. The choice is clear, there is no third way.

Jimmy-J 20-03-2019 19:52

Re: Brexit (New).
 
I just heard that May is hardening to a no deal.

jfman 20-03-2019 19:55

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Having threatened the ERG she’s now onto threatening the remainers. There’s zero chance of no deal, without an active choice by both Government and Parliament to facilitate it.


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