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Old 18-01-2018, 12:31   #1602
jonbxx
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Re: Brexit discussion

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hugh View Post
Not sure if the mapping for Brexit votes per constituency maps with the Party voting in a General/By-election. Not sure if we will ever know, as in my case, we only got results for Leeds as a whole, not by constituency.

Some die-hard Tories were Remainers, and would never vote Labour, and some die-hard Labourites voted to Leave, but would never vote Tory.

Anyhoo, I always believed that the MP should represent all of their constituency, not just the people that voted for them.
I have a present for you....

There are only estimates for how the vote went on a constituency level. Chris Hanretty, Professor of Politics at Royal Holloway has been working on this for some time. The data is here - https://app.polimapper.co.uk/?dataSe...38ea0461832a#_ You can look up your constituency and see the estimated vote..

He talks about methods and error here - https://medium.com/@chrishanretty/fi...p-5490b6cab878

He asked nicely if his paper could be cited when using his data so here we go - “Areal interpolation and the UK’s referendum on EU membership”, Chris Hanretty, Journal Of Elections, Public Opinion And Parties, Online Early Access, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2017.1287081
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