Thread: Brexit discussion
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Old 18-06-2018, 13:30   #3085
OLD BOY
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Re: Brexit discussion
5
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hugh View Post
Actually, it's mostly right...

The BBC 3 day forecast is around 95% accurate, and the 5 day forecast is around 90% accurate.
Well, I guess it depends on which forecasts you are comparing. There have been many occasions I have noted where the regional forecast has said the exact opposite of the national forecast for my area. They are both issued by the Met Office!
So provide two different forecasts and compare the reality with whichever one was correct! ��

---------- Post added at 13:30 ---------- Previous post was at 13:24 ----------

Quote:
Originally Posted by 1andrew1 View Post
Where have I said I'm in awe of them? I just happen to respect the work of hard-working British economists and civil servants.
You didn't say it, Andrew, but you seem to love quoting them and the economists supporting your arguments as if their forecasts prove your point.

My point is that the forecasts they make a rarely correct. This is largely down to the assumptions made, so if their assumptions are wrong, the projections will be wrong.

And let's not forget that economists and civil servants always tend to take an over-cautious stance.
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